Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.6%Cincinnati

30.4%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -229

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 78

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreXavier 73

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricXavier

61.5MMH Power Index49.5

105.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.0Net Efficiency-3.2

5.1Strength of Schedule5.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

69.4Tempo71.7

50.6%Effective FG%51.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate28.9%

5.5Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–49.5), defensive efficiency (97.3–112.4), net efficiency (8.0–-3.2), recent form (14.4–-7.4).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–105.3), strength of schedule (5.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (51.7–50.6).

Final

Cincinnati

74—79

Xavier

Xavier by 5 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATXavier

26-69FG30-64

38.0%FG%47.0%

11-333PT6-28

33.0%3PT%21.0%

11-22FT13-23

50.0%FT%57.0%

51Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds5

18Assists19

9Turnovers4

3Steals5

4Blocks3

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shon Abaev	G	25	6-12	4-7	0-2	3	2	0	1	16
Day Day Thomas	G	28	6-13	3-7	0-0	3	3	0	0	15
Kerr Kriisa	G	33	2-9	2-9	4-5	1	3	1	0	10
Baba Miller	F	28	3-12	0-4	4-7	17	6	0	1	10
Jalen Celestine	G	23	4-6	2-4	0-2	6	2	1	0	10
Moustapha Thiam	C	27	4-9	0-1	1-2	9	0	0	2	9
Sencire Harris	G	17	0-6	0-1	2-4	3	2	1	0	2
Tyler McKinley	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Keyshuan Tillery	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	35	14-23	1-5	1-6	7	1	1	1	30
Filip Borovicanin	F	32	5-7	2-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	12
Jovan Milicevic	F	28	4-11	2-7	2-5	3	2	2	0	12
Roddie Anderson III	G	16	2-9	1-7	3-3	1	1	1	0	8
All Wright	G	33	1-5	0-2	4-4	5	4	0	0	6
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	2-6	0-3	0-0	5	6	0	0	4
Pape N'Diaye	F	5	1-1	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	2	3
Isaiah Walker	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Anthony Robinson	F	9	0-0	0-0	2-4	5	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

100.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

107.2Defensive Efficiency100.4

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

45.7%Effective FG%51.6%

46.6%True Shooting %52.7%

12.3%Turnover Rate5.4%

31.9%Free Throw Rate35.9%

47.8%3-Point Rate43.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover4.75

Game Summary

Xavier won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.