Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.6%Pennsylvania

77.4%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -342

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 71

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreVillanova 80

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricVillanova

52.9MMH Power Index59.4

108.6Offensive Efficiency114.7

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

2.2Net Efficiency8.8

1.9Strength of Schedule4.4

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

69.9Tempo67.3

50.9%Effective FG%53.9%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.3%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.5Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.4), net efficiency (8.8–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.3–-1.1), free throw rate (36.3–31.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

63—90

Villanova

Villanova by 27 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATVillanova

24-59FG33-60

41.0%FG%55.0%

11-223PT15-31

50.0%3PT%48.0%

4-12FT9-13

33.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds38

13Offensive Rebounds10

19Assists20

14Turnovers10

5Steals10

2Blocks3

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Power	F	28	4-10	3-6	0-3	4	3	2	1	11
Cam Thrower	G	21	4-8	3-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	11
Michael Zanoni	F	20	5-9	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
AJ Levine	G	16	4-7	1-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	9
Jay Jones	G	15	2-4	2-2	3-4	0	1	0	0	9
Lucas Lueth	F	17	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	4
Dalton Scantlebury	C	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Johnnie Walter	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Alex Massung	G	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Michelangelo Oberti	C	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Ethan Roberts	F	15	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Augustus Gerhart	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Dylan Williams	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-1	1	5	0	0	0
Niklas Polonowski	F	5	0-3	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Payton Kamin	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
William Kruse	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Lindsay	G	20	5-7	5-6	3-4	0	2	1	0	18
Devin Askew	G	19	7-12	3-8	0-0	1	3	1	0	17
Duke Brennan	F	25	7-10	0-0	1-2	10	2	3	2	15
Matt Hodge	F	27	4-9	4-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	12
Acaden Lewis	G	23	4-6	0-2	1-1	3	7	1	0	9
Malachi Palmer	G	16	2-3	1-2	2-2	3	0	1	0	7
Tyler Perkins	G	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Tafara Gapare	F	16	1-4	0-2	1-2	3	0	0	1	3
Braden Pierce	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Zion Stanford	G	6	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Chris Jeffrey	G	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	4	1	0	0
Malcolm Flaggs	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

95.5Offensive Efficiency136.4

136.4Defensive Efficiency95.5

-40.9Net Efficiency40.9

50.0%Effective FG%67.5%

48.7%True Shooting %68.0%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

20.3%Free Throw Rate21.7%

37.3%3-Point Rate51.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Villanova won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.