Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.1%Dayton

81.9%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -452

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 68

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreVirginia 79

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricVirginia

59.9MMH Power Index68.9

108.5Offensive Efficiency119.0

101.5Defensive Efficiency101.8

7.0Net Efficiency17.2

5.7Strength of Schedule5.2

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.3Tempo67.6

52.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

47.6%Free Throw Rate33.2%

4.8Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–59.9), offensive efficiency (119.0–108.5), net efficiency (17.2–7.0), shooting efficiency (55.0–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–101.8), strength of schedule (5.7–5.2), free throw rate (47.6–33.2).

Final

Dayton

73—86

Virginia

Virginia by 13 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATVirginia

25-64FG27-45

39.0%FG%60.0%

7-233PT12-20

30.0%3PT%60.0%

16-22FT20-27

73.0%FT%74.0%

25Rebounds41

9Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists21

9Turnovers21

11Steals6

2Blocks4

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Bennett	G	36	8-22	2-6	0-0	1	2	2	0	18
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	33	5-12	0-4	2-3	5	3	4	0	12
Jordan Derkack	G	27	1-5	0-3	8-10	1	1	0	1	10
Jaiun Simon	F	17	3-5	2-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Amaël L'Etang	F	20	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	2	1	0	7
Bryce Heard	G	16	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	1	2	1	7
Malcolm Thomas	F	9	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Keonte Jones	G	24	2-6	0-0	1-3	3	1	1	0	5
Jacob Conner	F	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	24	9-9	7-7	0-0	4	3	0	0	25
Chance Mallory	G	25	1-3	1-2	9-10	4	5	0	0	12
Johann Grunloh	C	26	3-5	1-2	1-4	6	2	3	1	8
Devin Tillis	F	24	2-4	2-2	2-2	4	3	0	0	8
Ugonna Onyenso	C	14	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	1	1	2	8
Thijs De Ridder	F	28	3-9	0-3	1-2	9	0	0	0	7
Sam Lewis	G	24	3-5	0-1	1-2	3	4	1	0	7
Dallin Hall	G	22	2-3	1-1	2-3	1	2	1	0	7
Malik Thomas	G	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

99.1Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency99.1

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

44.5%Effective FG%73.3%

49.0%True Shooting %74.4%

12.1%Turnover Rate28.8%

34.4%Free Throw Rate60.0%

35.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.22Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Virginia won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.