UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

89.1%UMBC

10.9%Bucknell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -817

Bucknell

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 77

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreBucknell 64

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricBucknell

59.1MMH Power Index35.7

113.0Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.0Defensive Efficiency112.8

14.0Net Efficiency-13.3

-5.6Strength of Schedule2.0

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.5

65.5Tempo67.7

54.3%Effective FG%48.4%

14.3%Turnover Rate19.0%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

34.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

9.1Average Margin-8.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–35.7), offensive efficiency (113.0–99.5), defensive efficiency (99.0–112.8), net efficiency (14.0–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.6–25.2).

Final

UMBC

73—66

Bucknell

UMBC by 7 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATBucknell

27-52FG24-61

52.0%FG%39.0%

7-183PT6-24

39.0%3PT%25.0%

12-15FT12-17

80.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds14

18Assists14

12Turnovers9

3Steals8

8Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	32	6-11	2-5	6-7	2	2	0	1	20
Josh Odunowo	F	31	6-11	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	2	12
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	32	4-8	2-5	1-2	5	5	0	0	11
Riley Jacobs	F	28	4-7	0-1	3-4	5	0	2	3	11
Ace Valentine	G	24	3-4	3-3	0-0	2	5	0	0	9
Caden Diggs	F	25	2-6	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	2	6
Cougar Downing	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Daylon Dickerson	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	3	0	0	0
Tim Eze	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amon Dörries	C	34	5-8	0-1	6-6	4	2	1	0	16
Grgur Brcic	C	30	6-11	0-0	2-6	16	1	0	1	14
Achile Spadone	G	32	5-12	3-7	0-0	2	3	1	1	13
Quin Berger	G	34	3-10	3-8	2-2	1	0	4	1	11
Jayden Williams	G	34	2-8	0-3	2-2	3	5	2	0	6
Aleksander Pachucki	G	22	1-7	0-4	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Jacob Meachem	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	2	0	0	2
Patrick O'Brien	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

113.0Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency113.0

10.8Net Efficiency-10.8

58.7%Effective FG%44.3%

61.7%True Shooting %47.8%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.0%

28.8%Free Throw Rate27.9%

34.6%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

UMBC won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.