UNC Asheville

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.5%UNC Asheville

87.5%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -13.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.5

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -700

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 71

Projected Total155.5

Projected ScoreNC State 84

Team Comparison

UNC AshevilleMetricNC State

47.2MMH Power Index60.1

107.5Offensive Efficiency118.4

106.8Defensive Efficiency108.6

0.7Net Efficiency9.8

-0.5Strength of Schedule6.4

-5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

68.3Tempo70.2

52.0%Effective FG%55.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

40.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

0.5Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–47.2), offensive efficiency (118.4–107.5), net efficiency (9.8–0.7), strength of schedule (6.4–-0.5).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.8–108.6), recent form (-5.5–-11.9), offensive rebounding (30.9–28.2).

Final

UNC Asheville

63—75

NC State

NC State by 12 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC AshevilleTEAM STATNC State

20-54FG28-58

37.0%FG%48.0%

10-243PT7-24

42.0%3PT%29.0%

13-17FT12-15

76.0%FT%80.0%

32Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists21

14Turnovers12

8Steals5

1Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kameron Taylor	G	33	5-14	3-6	7-9	7	4	1	0	20
Justin Wright	G	39	7-18	2-7	0-0	6	0	2	0	16
DJ Patrick	G	35	5-11	5-10	0-0	6	3	0	0	15
Toyaz Solomon	F	40	3-9	0-0	6-7	5	3	3	0	12
David Hermes	F	23	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Myles Mayfield	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	1	0
Corey Jones	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Julian Clarke	PG	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	27	9-11	0-1	5-5	12	1	0	1	23
Quadir Copeland	G	25	4-9	1-2	4-6	1	8	3	0	13
Matt Able	G	20	5-8	3-5	0-0	4	1	1	2	13
Darrion Williams	F	29	4-6	0-2	0-0	3	6	0	1	8
Tre Holloman	G	29	3-8	2-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	18	1-6	1-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Alyn Breed	G	20	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	2	0	0	2
Musa Sagnia	F	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jerry Deng	F	9	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Terrance Arceneaux	G	8	0-3	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Scottie Ebube	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

93.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency93.2

-17.8Net Efficiency17.8

46.3%Effective FG%54.3%

50.7%True Shooting %57.6%

20.9%Turnover Rate17.6%

31.5%Free Throw Rate25.9%

44.4%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

NC State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.