Ohio State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.4%Ohio State

37.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio State -166

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio State 76

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 74

Team Comparison

Ohio StateMetricNorthwestern

64.5MMH Power Index55.4

118.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

108.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

10.0Net Efficiency1.8

6.4Strength of Schedule5.6

6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

67.2Tempo65.6

56.9%Effective FG%51.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

38.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

6.7Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.1–111.6), defensive efficiency (108.1–109.8), net efficiency (10.0–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHball security (13.0–15.3).

Final

Ohio State

86—82

Northwestern

Ohio State by 4 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ohio StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

35-61FG29-61

57.0%FG%48.0%

4-143PT8-24

29.0%3PT%33.0%

12-20FT16-18

60.0%FT%89.0%

29Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds13

24Assists21

11Turnovers14

5Steals4

2Blocks2

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Ohio State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Noel	F	35	13-15	0-1	3-5	7	1	1	1	29
Bruce Thornton	G	38	6-12	0-1	5-7	4	10	2	0	17
Amare Bynum	F	27	5-9	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	11
Devin Royal	F	25	4-8	1-3	1-2	4	3	0	0	10
John Mobley Jr.	G	24	3-7	1-5	1-2	2	1	0	0	8
Christoph Tilly	C	18	1-5	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	0	4
Colin White	F	18	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	2	0	4
Gabe Cupps	G	15	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	4	0	0	3

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	39	10-16	2-3	10-12	8	4	2	1	32
Angelo Ciaravino	G	33	6-10	0-3	2-2	8	2	0	1	14
Arrinten Page	F	34	6-11	1-3	0-0	9	5	0	0	13
Jayden Reid	G	31	2-10	1-4	4-4	2	6	0	0	9
K.J. Windham	G	22	3-7	2-5	0-0	0	3	1	0	8
Jordan Clayton	G	21	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Tre Singleton	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Justin Mullins	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Kropp	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Max Green	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake West	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

120.1Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency120.1

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

60.7%Effective FG%54.1%

61.0%True Shooting %59.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate19.8%

32.8%Free Throw Rate29.5%

23.0%3-Point Rate39.3%

2.18Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Ohio State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.