Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Boise State

43.8%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -128

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Projected Total157.4

Projected ScoreButler 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricButler

59.5MMH Power Index52.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency111.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.1

6.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.2Strength of Schedule3.1

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

68.6Tempo71.1

52.7%Effective FG%51.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

42.7%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–52.7), offensive efficiency (113.9–111.7), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.1), net efficiency (6.8–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–17.0), offensive rebounding (34.4–33.8), free throw rate (42.9–42.7).

Final

Boise State

77—68

Butler

Boise State by 9 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATButler

26-63FG27-60

41.0%FG%45.0%

4-153PT4-18

27.0%3PT%22.0%

21-26FT10-17

81.0%FT%59.0%

45Rebounds31

16Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists13

8Turnovers8

5Steals6

4Blocks4

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Andrews	G	33	4-19	1-6	11-13	6	4	1	0	20
Drew Fielder	C	19	7-11	1-3	1-2	5	1	0	1	16
Javan Buchanan	F	29	5-10	0-1	0-0	6	2	1	0	10
Andrew Meadow	F	24	3-6	1-2	3-3	3	0	0	0	10
Pearson Carmichael	F	17	3-6	1-2	2-2	1	0	2	1	9
Dominic Parolin	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-2	10	0	0	2	8
Aginaldo Neto	G	20	1-2	0-0	2-4	1	0	1	0	4
RJ Keene II	G	26	0-2	0-1	0-0	8	4	0	0	0
Spencer Ahrens	F	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	34	6-13	1-4	3-6	8	3	0	0	16
Drayton Jones	C	27	4-5	0-0	4-5	5	1	0	4	12
Finley Bizjack	G	35	5-12	0-5	0-1	2	3	0	0	10
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	32	3-6	0-1	1-2	4	1	2	0	7
Yame Butler	G	20	3-8	0-2	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Evan Haywood	G	10	2-7	2-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	6	2-3	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	0	6
Azavier Robinson	G	18	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	3
Yohan Traore	F	11	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jack McCaffery	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jackson Keith	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency114.4

13.4Net Efficiency-13.4

44.4%Effective FG%48.3%

51.1%True Shooting %49.9%

11.9%Turnover Rate11.9%

41.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

23.8%3-Point Rate30.0%

1.38Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Boise State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.