Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.5%Toledo

45.5%Oakland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL165.6

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -120

Oakland

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 83

Projected Total165.6

Projected ScoreOakland 83

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricOakland

58.8MMH Power Index52.6

116.0Offensive Efficiency115.7

109.6Defensive Efficiency114.5

6.4Net Efficiency1.2

2.3Strength of Schedule2.1

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.4

69.8Tempo71.4

55.1%Effective FG%53.3%

14.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

30.3%Free Throw Rate38.5%

4.5Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–52.6), offensive efficiency (116.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (109.6–114.5), net efficiency (6.4–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.3–30.4), free throw rate (38.5–30.3).

Final

Toledo

97—98

Oakland

Oakland by 1 • 78.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATOakland

41-77FG39-70

53.0%FG%56.0%

4-213PT6-18

19.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT14-20

79.0%FT%70.0%

44Rebounds28

17Offensive Rebounds7

20Assists23

12Turnovers5

3Steals11

3Blocks8

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	33	7-14	2-6	4-4	5	3	0	0	20
Sonny Wilson	G	36	7-13	0-2	2-3	4	7	1	0	16
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	26	6-12	1-5	3-3	3	2	2	0	16
Sean Craig	F	32	7-12	0-3	1-1	10	2	0	0	15
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	27	7-10	0-1	0-1	7	3	0	1	14
Phoenix Glassnor	G	10	3-5	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Austin Parks	C	23	3-6	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	2	6
Will James Jr.	G	13	1-5	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	3

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ziare Wells	G	23	9-14	0-1	3-3	4	3	2	0	21
Brody Robinson	G	37	8-14	3-7	0-2	1	9	3	0	19
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	36	9-16	0-1	0-1	5	3	2	2	18
Michael Houge	F	27	5-8	0-0	7-7	5	0	0	1	17
Isaac Garrett	F	28	4-8	0-1	3-3	8	4	1	3	11
Brett White II	G	21	2-5	1-4	1-4	2	0	0	0	6
Nassim Mashhour	G	19	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	2	3	0	6
Warren Marshall IV	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Khoi Thurmon	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Nate Deer	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.1Possessions78.1

124.2Offensive Efficiency125.5

125.5Defensive Efficiency124.2

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

55.8%Effective FG%60.0%

58.0%True Shooting %61.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate6.5%

18.2%Free Throw Rate28.6%

27.3%3-Point Rate25.7%

1.67Assist / Turnover4.60

Game Summary

Oakland won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 78.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.