Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Missouri State

88.4%Tulsa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTulsa -14.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINETulsa -762

Tulsa

30-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 71

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreTulsa 85

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricTulsa

51.1MMH Power Index64.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency121.1

108.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

2.1Net Efficiency16.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.0

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.3

67.9Tempo70.2

51.8%Effective FG%55.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.4%

1.4Average Margin11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tulsa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTulsa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (121.1–110.5), defensive efficiency (104.8–108.4), net efficiency (16.3–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.0), free throw rate (42.9–42.4).

Final

Missouri State

74—98

Tulsa

Tulsa by 24 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATTulsa

25-51FG30-63

49.0%FG%48.0%

13-263PT14-33

50.0%3PT%42.0%

11-19FT24-30

58.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists19

14Turnovers7

5Steals8

2Blocks1

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobi Williams	G	29	7-10	3-4	3-5	4	2	1	0	20
Keith Palek III	F	26	5-13	1-4	4-6	4	2	1	0	15
Trey Williams Jr.	G	33	4-9	4-8	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Zaxton King	G	35	4-7	2-4	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
Darrion Sutton	F	24	2-5	2-3	1-2	3	1	1	0	7
Melakih Cunningham	G	22	2-6	1-3	1-2	4	2	1	0	6
Cameron Boone	F	25	1-1	0-0	2-4	1	2	0	2	4
Logan Epes	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Green	F	20	6-11	3-7	2-3	3	1	0	0	17
Myles Rigsby	G	20	3-4	0-0	8-8	3	1	2	0	14
Ade Popoola	G	26	4-11	3-9	0-0	2	5	2	0	11
Miles Barnstable	G	22	3-7	2-5	2-3	2	2	0	1	10
KJ Martin Jr.	F	12	3-3	2-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Tylen Riley	G	24	3-9	1-2	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Tyler Behrend	F	17	3-5	1-2	2-4	7	3	1	0	9
Romad Dean	F	22	3-4	2-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	8
Ian Smikle	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	6
Jaylen Lawal	G	16	0-5	0-3	4-4	4	1	0	0	4
Leon Sifferlin	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Cal Conroy	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

110.1Offensive Efficiency145.8

145.8Defensive Efficiency110.1

-35.7Net Efficiency35.7

61.8%Effective FG%58.7%

61.6%True Shooting %63.4%

20.9%Turnover Rate10.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate47.6%

51.0%3-Point Rate52.4%

0.86Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Tulsa won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.