Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Bellarmine

81.4%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL167.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -438

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 78

Projected Total167.9

Projected ScoreMurray State 89

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricMurray State

44.9MMH Power Index53.6

119.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

122.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

-2.5Net Efficiency4.0

-2.8Strength of Schedule3.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

66.9Tempo72.3

60.0%Effective FG%54.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.3%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

35.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-1.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.9), defensive efficiency (111.0–122.1), net efficiency (4.0–-2.5), strength of schedule (3.5–-2.8).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–115.0), recent form (0.3–-9.5), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.0).

Final

Bellarmine

68—81

Murray State

Murray State by 13 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATMurray State

25-49FG30-57

51.0%FG%53.0%

6-183PT11-30

33.0%3PT%37.0%

12-16FT10-11

75.0%FT%91.0%

18Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists18

11Turnovers13

8Steals4

—Blocks3

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brian Waddell	F	37	8-11	2-4	7-9	6	5	1	25
Jack Karasinski	F	34	8-12	2-4	3-5	4	1	2	21
Myles Watkins	G	11	2-4	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	6
Kenyon Goodin	G	36	2-7	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	5
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	4
Sam Donald	F	22	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	3	1	3
Darrius Bolden	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	2
Donovan Hunter	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
Grant Whitaker	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Wassler	C	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JJ Traynor	F	27	8-12	1-5	0-0	6	2	0	1	17
Roman Domon	G	24	6-8	2-3	2-3	5	3	1	0	16
Javon Jackson	G	23	4-7	2-3	4-4	1	4	1	0	14
Fred King	C	19	5-8	0-0	2-2	9	1	0	0	12
Mason Miller	F	23	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	6
KJ Tenner	G	15	1-2	1-2	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Layne Taylor	G	25	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	2	0	0	3
Brayden Shorter	G	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	1	3
Mathis Courbon	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	1	3
Brock Vice	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Dylan Anderson	C	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency104.0

-19.9Net Efficiency19.9

57.1%Effective FG%62.3%

60.1%True Shooting %65.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.7%Free Throw Rate19.3%

36.7%3-Point Rate52.6%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Murray State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.