New Mexico State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%New Mexico State

38.4%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -160

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 74

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 72

Team Comparison

New Mexico StateMetricAbilene Christian

51.2MMH Power Index42.4

108.9Offensive Efficiency101.1

104.5Defensive Efficiency104.1

4.4Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.7Strength of Schedule-1.4

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

68.9Tempo69.6

48.6%Effective FG%48.9%

15.2%Turnover Rate20.6%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

37.0%Free Throw Rate42.0%

3.1Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–42.4), offensive efficiency (108.9–101.1), net efficiency (4.4–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.7–-1.4).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–104.5), shooting efficiency (48.9–48.6), free throw rate (42.0–37.0).

Final

New Mexico State

69—77

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 8 • 63.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New Mexico StateTEAM STATAbilene Christian

18-48FG25-50

38.0%FG%50.0%

6-183PT8-17

33.0%3PT%47.0%

27-35FT19-23

77.0%FT%83.0%

29Rebounds29

13Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists10

12Turnovers13

7Steals8

3Blocks3

22Fouls24

Player Box Score

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	34	6-13	2-4	5-8	4	2	2	0	19
Kyrese Mullen	F	24	3-6	2-3	5-5	2	1	1	0	13
Julius Mims	F	24	2-5	0-0	6-8	4	1	1	0	10
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	23	1-3	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Elijah Elliott	G	19	1-6	0-3	3-4	2	2	1	0	5
Gabe Pickens	G	15	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	2	0	0	5
Chris Terrell	G	19	1-4	0-1	2-2	4	4	0	0	4
Cyr Malonga	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Augustine Ekwe	C	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Jayland Randall	G	11	0-5	0-2	2-4	3	0	0	1	2
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cbo Newton	G	24	6-8	3-5	2-2	1	1	2	0	17
Bradyn Hubbard	F	29	4-16	1-5	7-7	2	0	1	0	16
Yaniel Rivera	G	27	3-6	2-3	5-5	3	4	1	0	13
Joseph Venzant	G	33	4-5	2-2	0-2	5	1	2	1	10
Rich Smith	G	26	4-5	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	10
Joseph Scott	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	1	4
Cade Hornecker	F	10	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	1	0	0	3
Zy Wright	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Christian Alston	G	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Ma'Shy Hill	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Isaac Dye	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.3Possessions63.3

109.0Offensive Efficiency121.6

121.6Defensive Efficiency109.0

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

43.8%Effective FG%58.0%

53.4%True Shooting %63.2%

18.9%Turnover Rate20.7%

72.9%Free Throw Rate46.0%

37.5%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 63.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.