UNC Greensboro

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%UNC Greensboro

56.0%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Carolina -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL157.0

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Carolina -127

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 77

Projected Total157.0

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 80

Team Comparison

UNC GreensboroMetricEast Carolina

46.7MMH Power Index44.3

112.6Offensive Efficiency102.0

115.3Defensive Efficiency110.5

-2.7Net Efficiency-8.5

-1.9Strength of Schedule2.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

69.8Tempo70.1

52.8%Effective FG%46.7%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.4%

28.7%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

41.7%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-1.9Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Greensboro HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Greensboro holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.7–44.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–102.0), net efficiency (-2.7–-8.5), recent form (2.2–-1.8).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.5–115.3), strength of schedule (2.6–-1.9), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.7).

Final

UNC Greensboro

82—78

East Carolina

UNC Greensboro by 4 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC GreensboroTEAM STATEast Carolina

28-59FG31-65

47.0%FG%48.0%

5-213PT6-24

24.0%3PT%25.0%

21-24FT10-16

88.0%FT%63.0%

28Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds18

15Assists14

11Turnovers15

6Steals4

1Blocks2

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Neely	F	32	9-15	0-2	5-7	8	2	0	1	23
Lilian Marville	G	29	6-11	2-4	8-8	3	2	0	0	22
KJ Younger	G	30	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Donald Whitehead Jr.	G	16	1-4	0-2	6-6	1	4	2	0	8
Valentino Pinedo	F	24	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	3	2	0	6
Antwann Jones	G	14	2-6	1-2	1-2	4	1	1	0	6
Domas Kauzonas	F	10	2-3	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	5
Noah Norgaard	G	21	2-6	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Landon King	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Assane Mandian	G	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Clinton Efinda	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	37	9-21	0-4	7-9	9	3	0	2	25
Giovanni Emejuru	C	36	7-8	0-0	1-3	12	0	1	0	15
Isaiah Mbeng	G	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	7
Vito Perkovic	F	15	3-6	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	7
Jayshayne Woodard	G	24	2-4	1-3	1-2	0	3	1	0	6
Tybo Bailey	G	21	2-10	1-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Corey Caulker	G	32	2-6	1-3	0-0	4	4	0	0	5
Paddy D'Arcy	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Reid Cason	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Luke Davis	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

118.0Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency118.0

5.8Net Efficiency-5.8

51.7%Effective FG%52.3%

58.2%True Shooting %53.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate21.6%

40.7%Free Throw Rate24.6%

35.6%3-Point Rate36.9%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.