Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.2%Denver

53.8%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho State -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho State -116

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 80

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 82

Team Comparison

DenverMetricIdaho State

49.1MMH Power Index45.9

119.2Offensive Efficiency111.0

119.2Defensive Efficiency113.4

0.0Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.6Strength of Schedule0.2

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

69.5Tempo67.1

55.3%Effective FG%52.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.5%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

35.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

0.0Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (119.2–111.0), net efficiency (0.0–-2.4), recent form (4.0–-9.6).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (113.4–119.2), strength of schedule (0.2–-2.6), offensive rebounding (33.9–30.9).

Final

Denver

79—93

Idaho State

Idaho State by 14 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATIdaho State

27-55FG32-64

49.0%FG%50.0%

5-193PT15-29

26.0%3PT%52.0%

20-27FT14-18

74.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds32

10Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists14

10Turnovers6

2Steals5

4Blocks7

17Fouls22

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Logan Kinsey	F	36	6-9	1-2	8-8	7	1	0	2	21
Carson Johnson	G	40	6-14	2-6	6-6	2	1	0	1	20
Jeremiah Burke	F	38	6-10	1-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	13
Zane Nelson	G	22	2-6	1-3	5-6	1	6	0	0	10
Shaun Wysocki	F	20	3-8	0-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Gabe Oldham	F	26	3-4	0-0	0-5	10	0	2	1	6
Julius Rollins	G	16	1-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Didier Maleng	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Martin Kheil	G	35	5-10	5-9	4-5	3	0	0	0	19
Lachlan Brewer	G	37	7-11	3-6	0-0	7	2	1	1	17
Gus Etchison	PG	13	6-10	3-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	15
Connor Hollenbeck	F	32	4-11	3-7	2-2	6	3	2	1	13
Jamison Guerra	PG	27	2-10	1-3	4-5	3	5	0	0	9
Evan Otten	F	17	3-4	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	3	9
Caleb Van De Griend	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	2	6
Cheikh Sow	G	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	0	3
Blake Daberkow	F	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

117.6Offensive Efficiency138.4

138.4Defensive Efficiency117.6

-20.8Net Efficiency20.8

53.6%Effective FG%61.7%

58.2%True Shooting %64.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate9.0%

49.1%Free Throw Rate28.1%

34.5%3-Point Rate45.3%

0.90Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.