UC Riverside

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.0%UC Riverside

75.0%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -7.4

PROJECTED TOTAL163.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -300

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 78

Projected Total163.0

Projected ScoreCal Poly 85

Team Comparison

UC RiversideMetricCal Poly

41.2MMH Power Index46.5

103.1Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.1Defensive Efficiency111.0

-7.0Net Efficiency-3.8

0.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-5.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

70.7Tempo76.6

49.8%Effective FG%52.2%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.8%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

35.2%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-4.9Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), net efficiency (-3.8–-7.0), strength of schedule (1.7–0.5).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.1–111.0), ball security (18.5–19.8).

Final

UC Riverside

88—84

Cal Poly

UC Riverside by 4 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC RiversideTEAM STATCal Poly

34-63FG27-57

54.0%FG%47.0%

4-183PT9-29

22.0%3PT%31.0%

16-24FT21-26

67.0%FT%81.0%

32Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists12

5Turnovers13

3Steals2

2Blocks—

25Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Henderson	G	38	10-19	1-7	7-8	9	0	0	0	28
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	38	9-16	3-6	3-6	5	4	2	0	24
Osiris Grady	F	33	4-7	0-0	3-4	5	3	0	0	11
BJ Kolly	F	23	5-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	10
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	22	2-2	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	7
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	27	2-5	0-3	0-2	3	1	1	1	4
Dylan Godfrey	F	15	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Tyler Jones	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Hamad Mousa	G	36	8-14	4-9	11-11	9	4	0	31
Peter Bandelj	G	36	3-7	2-4	5-5	2	3	1	13
Cayden Ward	G	34	4-13	1-6	3-5	6	1	1	12
Ali Assran	F	17	4-5	1-2	1-2	5	0	0	10
Troy Plumtree	F	25	4-6	0-2	1-2	7	1	0	9
Luka Tarlac	G	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	5
Austin Goode	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Kieran Elliott	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Guzman Vasilic	G	16	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0
Jake Davis	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

123.2Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency123.2

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

57.1%Effective FG%55.3%

59.1%True Shooting %60.6%

7.1%Turnover Rate18.0%

38.1%Free Throw Rate45.6%

28.6%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.