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Montana

18-16
GAME THAT MATTERSAT
42.1%Montana
57.9%North Dakota
MMH WIN PROBABILITY
MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -2.1
PROJECTED TOTAL155.6
MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -138
North Dakota logo

North Dakota

18-17
MMH MODEL PROJECTION
Projected ScoreMontana 77
Projected Total155.6
Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 79

Team Comparison

45.4MMH Power Index43.7
108.6Offensive Efficiency109.2
104.8Defensive Efficiency110.2
3.8Net Efficiency-1.0
-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.4
-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2
71.2Tempo70.1
56.3%Effective FG%50.1%
19.2%Turnover Rate14.0%
21.9%Offensive Rebound %28.9%
37.7%Free Throw Rate37.5%
2.7Average Margin-0.7
MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE
MODEL READ

Montana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%
STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE
8–3
MMH comparison metrics
WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.4–43.7), defensive efficiency (104.8–110.2), net efficiency (3.8–-1.0), strength of schedule (-2.4–-3.4).
North Dakota COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–108.6), ball security (14.0–19.2), offensive rebounding (28.9–21.9).
Final
Montana logo
Montana
79—75
North Dakota logo
North Dakota
Montana by 4 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATNorth Dakota
26-50FG28-66
52.0%FG%42.0%
12-243PT5-21
50.0%3PT%24.0%
15-24FT14-18
63.0%FT%78.0%
33Rebounds34
9Offensive Rebounds16
14Assists8
17Turnovers10
6Steals14
3Blocks6
18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Montana
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
Money WilliamsG2711-145-73-332000030
Tyler ThompsonG345-84-53-421420017
Tyler IsaakG262-61-44-77300009
Kenyon AguinoF223-60-12-64301008
Kadyn BettsF112-21-10-02000005
Connor DickG81-10-02-22010004
Courtney Anderson Jr.G81-21-20-00000003
Te'Jon SawyerF221-40-30-04100002
Brooklyn HicksG200-30-01-22210001
Chase HendersonG180-30-10-03200000
Grant KepleyG30-00-00-01000000
Amari JedkinsF10-10-00-00000000
North Dakota
PlayerPosMinFG3PTFTREBASTSTLBLKTOPFPTS
George NatsvlishviliF286-90-17-1191120019
Eli KingG376-140-32-261510014
Marley CurtisF245-82-41-140100013
Greyson UelmenG254-100-14-423110012
Garrett AndersonG293-111-50-03111007
Zach KraftG252-62-50-00110006
Reggie ThomasG201-50-10-03141002
Josh JonesC101-20-00-04000002
Matthew BothunF20-10-10-00000000

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0
114.5Offensive Efficiency108.7
108.7Defensive Efficiency114.5
5.8Net Efficiency-5.8
64.0%Effective FG%46.2%
64.3%True Shooting %50.3%
24.5%Turnover Rate14.6%
48.0%Free Throw Rate27.3%
48.0%3-Point Rate31.8%
0.82Assist / Turnover0.80
Game Summary
Montana won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.