Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.9%Northern Arizona

95.1%North Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -1941

North Dakota State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 65

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 86

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricNorth Dakota State

36.9MMH Power Index59

107.1Offensive Efficiency115.4

114.8Defensive Efficiency100.8

-7.7Net Efficiency14.6

-1.8Strength of Schedule-4.6

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

66.6Tempo69.6

53.5%Effective FG%54.5%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.5%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

33.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-5.1Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–36.9), offensive efficiency (115.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (100.8–114.8), net efficiency (14.6–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-4.6), free throw rate (33.6–31.3).

Final

Northern Arizona

68—69

North Dakota State

North Dakota State by 1 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATNorth Dakota State

28-61FG26-64

46.0%FG%41.0%

6-173PT6-20

35.0%3PT%30.0%

6-8FT11-18

75.0%FT%61.0%

33Rebounds42

8Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists11

13Turnovers16

11Steals8

5Blocks3

19Fouls8

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zack Davidson	F	26	7-12	0-0	6-6	4	0	1	0	20
Ryan Abelman	G	36	4-13	3-8	0-0	6	1	5	0	11
Arne Osojnik	G	28	5-9	1-3	0-0	8	0	2	1	11
Karl Poom	F	25	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Isaiah Shaw	G	11	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	7
Kavon Bradford	G	39	3-10	0-1	0-2	5	5	1	0	6
Traivar Jackson	F	14	2-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	4
Chris Komin	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Diego Campisano	F	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Peterson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Carson	G	34	7-16	3-6	2-2	12	3	3	0	19
Markhi Strickland	G	28	7-10	0-0	2-3	5	1	0	0	16
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	28	3-13	1-4	3-6	2	1	1	0	10
Treyson Anderson	F	17	3-5	0-1	2-3	8	1	1	2	8
Andy Stefonowicz	G	34	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	4	1	0	7
Riley Massey	G	16	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Tay Smith	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Noah Feddersen	F	23	1-6	0-1	0-2	6	1	0	1	2
Carson Smith	G	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

96.2Offensive Efficiency97.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency96.2

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

50.8%Effective FG%45.3%

52.5%True Shooting %47.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate22.4%

13.1%Free Throw Rate28.1%

27.9%3-Point Rate31.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.