Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.1%Montana State

30.9%Oral Roberts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -224

Oral Roberts

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreOral Roberts 74

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricOral Roberts

53.6MMH Power Index41.8

114.4Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency110.2

9.5Net Efficiency-5.9

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.6

68.1Tempo70.3

55.1%Effective FG%50.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate19.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.8%

6.5Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–41.8), offensive efficiency (114.4–104.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.2), net efficiency (9.5–-5.9).

Oral Roberts COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-3.7), offensive rebounding (29.5–28.1), free throw rate (37.8–30.7).

Final

Montana State

68—72

Oral Roberts

Oral Roberts by 4 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATOral Roberts

25-57FG22-55

44.0%FG%40.0%

9-303PT4-16

30.0%3PT%25.0%

9-13FT24-26

69.0%FT%92.0%

34Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists10

14Turnovers12

9Steals8

3Blocks2

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davian Brown	G	34	6-13	5-11	4-5	5	2	4	0	21
Jed Miller	G	39	6-11	4-9	0-0	3	3	1	0	16
Chris Hodges	F	23	4-6	0-0	2-2	9	1	1	2	10
Waka Mbatch	F	16	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	7
Jaden Steppe	F	14	2-3	0-1	2-3	2	1	1	0	6
Seth Amunrud	G	25	2-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Jeremiah Davis	G	17	2-9	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Patrick McMahon	G	28	0-4	0-1	0-1	3	3	0	1	0
Howie Keene	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oral Roberts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ofri Naveh	F	29	11-18	2-2	1-1	7	0	2	0	25
Ty Harper	G	32	3-10	0-3	14-16	4	5	1	0	20
Connor Dow	G	29	1-5	0-3	4-4	3	2	2	1	6
Martins Kilups	G	21	2-4	1-2	1-1	1	1	1	0	6
Jack Turner	G	19	1-4	0-0	4-4	1	0	2	0	6
Cal Furnish	G	29	2-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Yuto Yamanouchi-Williams	F	22	2-7	0-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	4
Baron Smith Jr.	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Luke Gray	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aaron Jacob	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Chase Martin	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

105.8Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-6.2Net Efficiency6.2

51.8%Effective FG%43.6%

53.8%True Shooting %53.5%

22.2%Turnover Rate18.4%

22.8%Free Throw Rate47.3%

52.6%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.83

Game Summary

Oral Roberts won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.