Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.6%Cal State Bakersfield

93.4%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -18.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -1415

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 69

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 87

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC Santa Barbara

32.2MMH Power Index51.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

112.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

-12.4Net Efficiency7.1

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

73.0Tempo68.5

46.4%Effective FG%54.8%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

84—109

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 25 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

24-48FG34-61

50.0%FG%56.0%

10-193PT14-29

53.0%3PT%48.0%

26-37FT27-34

70.0%FT%79.0%

22Rebounds40

5Offensive Rebounds15

12Assists25

12Turnovers11

8Steals8

3Blocks4

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	28	7-13	3-6	6-8	4	5	1	0	23
Tom Mark	F	24	5-6	2-2	2-2	1	0	0	1	14
Dailin Smith	G	24	4-5	2-3	4-8	2	2	1	0	14
Mike Price	G	21	4-7	2-5	1-1	2	0	0	0	11
Jaden Alexander	G	18	2-5	1-2	6-6	1	0	2	0	11
Ronald Jessamy	F	24	2-8	0-0	5-6	4	1	2	2	9
AJ George	G	29	0-3	0-0	2-4	1	1	1	0	2
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Kadar Waller	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Dylan Purnell	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0
Bentley Waller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
TJ James Jr.	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	29	11-13	7-7	1-2	4	4	2	0	30
Zion Sensley	G	28	6-13	4-7	0-0	14	2	0	0	16
CJ Shaw	G	29	3-6	0-2	9-10	2	4	2	0	15
Colin Smith	F	19	3-6	1-3	3-3	2	4	0	0	10
Evans Kipruto	C	14	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	2	9
Michael Simcoe	F	13	3-3	1-1	2-2	4	2	0	0	9
Marvin McGhee IV	G	21	0-4	0-4	6-6	3	6	2	1	6
Hosana Kitenge	F	18	2-4	0-1	2-3	2	0	1	1	6
Zachiah Clark	G	15	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Luke Zuffelato	G	5	0-1	0-1	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Isaac Shingange	G	5	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Kyle Haughy	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
John Simcoe	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

115.2Offensive Efficiency149.5

149.5Defensive Efficiency115.2

-34.3Net Efficiency34.3

60.4%Effective FG%67.2%

64.0%True Shooting %70.6%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.0%

77.1%Free Throw Rate55.7%

39.6%3-Point Rate47.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.27

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.