Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.1%Cal State Northridge

80.9%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -424

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 73

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 84

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUC Irvine

50MMH Power Index58.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency106.9

105.2Defensive Efficiency95.0

2.1Net Efficiency11.9

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

75.9Tempo72.3

51.0%Effective FG%50.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

1.6Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–50.0), defensive efficiency (95.0–105.2), net efficiency (11.9–2.1), recent form (10.0–1.8).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.3–106.9), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.0), shooting efficiency (51.0–50.7).

Final

Cal State Northridge

71—85

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 14 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUC Irvine

26-66FG31-63

39.0%FG%49.0%

8-223PT9-19

36.0%3PT%47.0%

11-18FT14-21

61.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds47

10Offensive Rebounds15

15Assists16

7Turnovers10

6Steals4

—Blocks6

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	29	6-16	4-6	2-3	0	1	2	18
Josiah Davis	G	38	5-13	0-1	4-5	4	10	0	14
Mahmoud Fofana	F	33	5-9	0-0	1-1	11	0	1	11
Davius Loury	F	18	3-10	2-6	3-4	2	1	1	11
Jordan Brinson	G	38	3-7	1-4	0-0	5	2	0	7
Grady Lewis	F	15	3-5	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	6
Jai Chisolm	G	15	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
James Evans Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-0	1-3	0	1	1	1
Aleks Szymczyk	C	10	0-4	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derin Saran	G	32	7-15	2-4	1-2	7	3	1	0	17
Kyle Evans	F	34	5-7	0-0	2-2	16	2	0	3	12
Tama Isaac	G	29	4-5	3-3	1-2	5	2	0	0	12
Andre Henry	G	21	5-8	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	12
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	17	3-7	2-4	2-3	4	1	0	0	10
Jurian Dixon	G	24	2-12	0-5	5-6	3	2	0	0	9
Elijah Chol	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	2	6
Harrison Carrington	F	14	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	1	3
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

45.5%Effective FG%56.3%

47.6%True Shooting %58.2%

9.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

27.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

33.3%3-Point Rate30.2%

2.14Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.