Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%Cal State Fullerton

74.4%Hawai'i

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHawai'i -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHawai'i -291

Hawai'i

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 76

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreHawai'i 85

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricHawai'i

49.4MMH Power Index54.4

108.8Offensive Efficiency109.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

1.7Net Efficiency12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-2.8

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

76.3Tempo72.8

52.6%Effective FG%52.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.4%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.4%

1.3Average Margin9.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Hawai'i HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHawai'i holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (109.4–108.8), defensive efficiency (97.0–107.1), net efficiency (12.4–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.8), recent form (2.7–-1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–52.4).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

59—69

Hawai'i

Hawai'i by 10 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATHawai'i

22-64FG24-63

34.0%FG%38.0%

3-193PT10-35

16.0%3PT%29.0%

12-18FT11-17

67.0%FT%65.0%

37Rebounds50

8Offensive Rebounds14

4Assists9

9Turnovers15

9Steals2

2Blocks7

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Landon Seaman	F	21	7-14	1-2	2-2	5	0	1	0	17
Bryce Cofield	G	30	6-9	0-0	4-8	6	1	1	0	16
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	32	3-6	1-3	3-3	5	0	1	0	10
Joshua Ward	G	34	3-14	0-4	1-3	7	1	3	1	7
Christian Williams	G	26	2-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	2	0	5
Kendrick De Luna	F	18	0-6	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Jaden Henderson	G	11	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Davis White	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
KJ Garris	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Hawai'i

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gytis Nemeiksa	F	28	4-9	2-3	2-4	10	0	1	2	12
Harry Rouhliadeff	F	24	3-11	3-10	3-4	5	0	0	0	12
Isaac Finlinson	F	17	5-5	1-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	11
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor	G	23	3-4	1-2	3-4	5	1	1	1	10
Dre Bullock	G	30	3-12	2-8	0-1	9	3	0	0	8
Isaac Johnson	C	24	3-11	1-7	1-2	5	0	0	3	8
Hunter Erickson	G	30	2-5	0-1	2-2	4	4	0	1	6
Yacine Toumi	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Kerr	G	20	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

80.9Offensive Efficiency94.7

94.7Defensive Efficiency80.9

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

36.7%Effective FG%46.0%

40.7%True Shooting %48.5%

12.2%Turnover Rate20.8%

28.1%Free Throw Rate27.0%

29.7%3-Point Rate55.6%

0.44Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Hawai'i won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.