Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%Central Connecticut

53.0%Northeastern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNortheastern -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINENortheastern -113

Northeastern

8-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 76

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreNortheastern 76

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricNortheastern

44.4MMH Power Index40.9

111.4Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.0Defensive Efficiency115.7

4.4Net Efficiency-8.6

-7.7Strength of Schedule2.7

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.0

66.3Tempo69.9

54.0%Effective FG%52.7%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate29.9%

2.9Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–40.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (107.0–115.7), net efficiency (4.4–-8.6).

Northeastern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.7–-7.7).

Final

Central Connecticut

56—73

Northeastern

Northeastern by 17 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATNortheastern

21-63FG26-56

33.0%FG%46.0%

4-173PT9-25

24.0%3PT%36.0%

10-17FT12-14

59.0%FT%86.0%

35Rebounds43

10Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists15

9Turnovers10

6Steals5

5Blocks5

10Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	38	3-12	1-7	5-6	5	1	1	1	12
Jay Rodgers	G	28	5-13	1-2	1-1	3	7	0	0	12
Max Frazier	F	28	4-7	0-0	1-4	5	0	3	2	9
Melo Sanchez	G	26	3-11	2-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Elijah Parker	G	15	3-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
James Jones	G	29	1-8	0-1	1-2	9	0	1	2	3
Daniel James	F	10	1-2	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	0	3
Ashton Reynolds	G	4	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Gabe Spinelli	G	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nico Ashley	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Northeastern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
William Kermoury	G	31	6-12	6-12	0-0	6	1	1	0	18
Xavier Abreu	G	20	4-7	1-2	6-7	6	2	0	0	15
Ty Francis	F	30	4-5	0-0	2-2	12	1	0	3	10
Mike Loughnane	G	32	3-5	1-2	2-2	1	4	2	0	9
Luca Soroa Schaller	G	17	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	1	7
JB Frankel	G	28	3-11	0-6	0-0	5	4	0	1	6
Liam Koelsch	C	22	3-6	0-0	0-1	7	2	1	0	6
Petar Pinter	C	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Xander Alarie	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ryan Williams	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

81.9Offensive Efficiency106.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency81.9

-24.9Net Efficiency24.9

36.5%Effective FG%54.5%

39.4%True Shooting %58.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

27.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

27.0%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Northeastern won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.