Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Northwestern State

55.5%SE Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSE Louisiana -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL131.1

MODEL MONEYLINESE Louisiana -125

SE Louisiana

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 64

Projected Total131.1

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 67

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricSE Louisiana

41.3MMH Power Index38.7

104.0Offensive Efficiency98.4

109.0Defensive Efficiency106.4

-5.0Net Efficiency-8.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule0.2

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

63.6Tempo63.9

49.5%Effective FG%47.0%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.7), offensive efficiency (104.0–98.4), net efficiency (-5.0–-8.0), recent form (-4.9–-11.9).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–109.0), strength of schedule (0.2–-1.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–27.1).

Final

Northwestern State

76—68

SE Louisiana

Northwestern State by 8 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATSE Louisiana

25-49FG22-50

51.0%FG%44.0%

5-133PT3-19

38.0%3PT%16.0%

21-27FT21-30

78.0%FT%70.0%

36Rebounds25

11Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists9

15Turnovers11

7Steals7

—Blocks3

21Fouls25

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	28	5-14	1-4	7-8	2	2	1	18
Justin Redmond	G	20	6-10	1-2	4-4	3	1	0	17
Izzy Miles	G	25	4-8	2-3	3-5	0	1	0	13
Omar Adegbola	G	20	3-5	1-2	4-5	5	0	3	11
Chris Mubiru	G	32	2-3	0-1	3-3	6	3	0	7
Kordrick Turner	F	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	4
Willie Williams	F	29	1-3	0-0	0-2	7	1	0	2
Chip Brunt	G	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	2
Moustapha Loum	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Landyn Jumawan	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Elyzee	F	33	6-10	0-3	7-11	5	2	1	2	19
Isaiah Gaines	F	26	5-8	0-1	7-7	7	1	2	0	17
Jalen Forrest	G	20	3-7	0-2	4-5	1	0	2	0	10
CJ Booker	PG	28	3-6	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	8
Jaiden Lawrence	G	22	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Ethan Pickett	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	2	0	0	2
Peter Hemschemeier	G	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Kyle Edison	G	6	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Seth Jones	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Garrett Shoemaker	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Makhi Myles	F	4	0-2	0-2	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency115.0

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

56.1%Effective FG%47.0%

61.5%True Shooting %52.9%

22.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

55.1%Free Throw Rate60.0%

26.5%3-Point Rate38.0%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.