Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.4%Central Arkansas

22.6%East Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -342

East Texas A&M

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 73

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricEast Texas A&M

54MMH Power Index38.4

113.9Offensive Efficiency101.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.5

8.7Net Efficiency-6.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.1

71.0Tempo69.3

54.3%Effective FG%50.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.9%

6.1Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–38.4), offensive efficiency (113.9–101.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.5), net efficiency (8.7–-6.3).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.5–-3.9), free throw rate (31.9–30.7).

Final

Central Arkansas

68—75

East Texas A&M

East Texas A&M by 7 • 74.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATEast Texas A&M

29-60FG23-55

48.0%FG%42.0%

5-213PT10-32

24.0%3PT%31.0%

5-15FT19-25

33.0%FT%76.0%

33Rebounds38

4Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists15

12Turnovers14

9Steals4

—Blocks5

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	35	8-16	1-5	3-6	2	1	2	20
Ty Robinson	G	32	7-15	2-6	0-1	5	3	2	16
Luke Moore	G	36	5-10	1-5	0-1	5	6	2	11
Cole McCormick	F	28	5-6	0-0	1-2	1	2	1	11
Javion Guy-King	G	27	1-4	0-1	1-5	7	2	2	3
Harry Beauchamp	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
Tyler Lee	G	12	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	2
Parker Applegate	G	10	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	2
Truman Byrne	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gianni Hunt	G	34	5-12	1-5	10-13	5	7	1	0	21
Damian Garcia	G	26	5-12	3-8	2-2	6	1	0	1	15
Ronnie Harrison	F	26	6-8	1-2	0-0	7	1	3	0	13
Vinny Sigona	G	19	4-9	4-9	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Noah Pagotto	F	23	2-4	1-1	2-2	7	1	0	2	7
Michael Folarin	F	16	1-1	0-0	3-4	8	0	0	0	5
Evan Phelps	G	20	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
London Fields	G	18	0-5	0-5	0-2	0	2	0	0	0
Josh Taylor	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Alex McCray	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.5Possessions74.5

91.3Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency91.3

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

52.5%Effective FG%50.9%

50.7%True Shooting %56.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate19.0%

25.0%Free Throw Rate45.5%

35.0%3-Point Rate58.2%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.