Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%Buffalo

82.6%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -475

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 68

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreUMBC 79

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricUMBC

49.7MMH Power Index59.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency113.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

2.7Net Efficiency14.0

0.0Strength of Schedule-5.6

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

67.9Tempo65.5

56.1%Effective FG%54.3%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.3%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

40.4%Free Throw Rate34.1%

1.8Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–49.7), defensive efficiency (99.0–112.2), net efficiency (14.0–2.7), recent form (24.7–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–113.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-5.6), shooting efficiency (56.1–54.3).

Final

Buffalo

83—79

UMBC

Buffalo by 4 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATUMBC

30-55FG31-59

55.0%FG%53.0%

7-173PT9-26

41.0%3PT%35.0%

16-18FT8-8

89.0%FT%100.0%

27Rebounds25

8Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists15

10Turnovers11

10Steals4

—Blocks—

10Fouls15

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tim Oboh	C	21	8-10	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	19
Daniel Freitag	G	29	4-12	2-3	7-7	6	2	3	17
Ezra McKenna	F	15	5-8	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	13
Ryan Sabol	G	34	5-10	1-3	0-0	1	4	0	11
Mikhail Pocknett	F	16	3-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	8
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	18	2-3	0-1	2-2	2	3	0	6
Noah Batchelor	G	31	2-4	1-3	0-1	4	2	1	5
Angelo Brizzi	G	29	1-5	0-2	2-2	3	0	4	4
Kyle Jones	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jah'Likai King	G	31	8-15	1-5	2-2	1	3	1	19
Caden Diggs	F	24	7-9	3-4	2-2	2	1	1	19
Ace Valentine	G	36	5-11	3-6	2-2	1	6	0	15
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	35	3-9	2-8	2-2	2	3	0	10
Josh Odunowo	F	30	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	8
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	10	3-6	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	6
Riley Jacobs	F	16	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	2	2
Daylon Dickerson	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Cougar Downing	G	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

125.4Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency125.4

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

60.9%Effective FG%60.2%

65.3%True Shooting %62.9%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

32.7%Free Throw Rate13.6%

30.9%3-Point Rate44.1%

1.30Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Buffalo won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.