South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%South Dakota State

39.8%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Dakota State -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Dakota State -151

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 72

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreBall State 71

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricBall State

49.6MMH Power Index41.3

110.6Offensive Efficiency101.7

106.9Defensive Efficiency104.7

3.7Net Efficiency-3.0

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.9

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

68.2Tempo66.4

52.6%Effective FG%48.3%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

30.3%Free Throw Rate33.0%

2.6Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (110.6–101.7), net efficiency (3.7–-3.0), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–106.9), ball security (16.0–16.2), free throw rate (33.0–30.3).

Final

South Dakota State

68—64

Ball State

South Dakota State by 4 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATBall State

26-57FG22-61

46.0%FG%36.0%

8-193PT6-27

42.0%3PT%22.0%

8-11FT14-20

73.0%FT%70.0%

38Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists18

11Turnovers7

2Steals10

5Blocks3

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalen Garry	G	33	5-11	3-4	2-3	8	7	0	0	15
Damon Wilkinson	C	23	7-12	0-0	0-2	8	1	0	3	14
Jaden Jackson	G	32	3-12	2-7	2-2	4	2	0	0	10
Matthew Mors	F	28	4-4	2-2	0-0	6	1	0	2	10
Alec Squires	C	17	2-4	0-0	4-4	3	1	0	0	8
Bubz Alvarez	G	17	3-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Joe Sayler	G	31	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	3	2	0	5
Caleb Delzell	F	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Luke Haertle	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joey Hart	G	24	6-9	2-3	4-4	3	1	1	0	18
Kayden Fish	F	23	5-11	2-5	0-2	9	1	1	2	12
Davion Hill	G	20	4-10	1-4	1-1	1	3	0	0	10
Mason Jones	F	39	2-3	1-2	0-0	7	4	3	1	5
Devon Barnes	G	14	1-5	0-4	3-4	0	0	1	0	5
Preston Copeland	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	1	0	0	4
Juwan Maxey	G	15	0-7	0-6	4-5	1	3	0	0	4
Elmore James IV	G	15	1-6	0-1	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Armoni Zeigler	G	32	1-7	0-2	0-1	2	5	4	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

107.3Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency107.3

6.3Net Efficiency-6.3

52.6%Effective FG%41.0%

54.6%True Shooting %45.4%

17.7%Turnover Rate10.9%

19.3%Free Throw Rate32.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate44.3%

1.64Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

South Dakota State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.