Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.3%Penn State

90.7%Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIndiana -975

Indiana

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 69

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreIndiana 85

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricIndiana

42.3MMH Power Index58.2

109.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

117.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.4Net Efficiency8.9

5.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

67.5Tempo67.4

53.4%Effective FG%56.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-5.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.2–42.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–109.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–117.6), net efficiency (8.9–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–5.2).

Final

Penn State

72—113

Indiana

Indiana by 41 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATIndiana

26-56FG42-61

46.0%FG%69.0%

5-163PT17-31

31.0%3PT%55.0%

15-22FT12-15

68.0%FT%80.0%

21Rebounds28

8Offensive Rebounds4

6Assists30

14Turnovers10

6Steals8

—Blocks1

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	31	6-11	0-1	7-9	2	2	2	19
Freddie Dilione V	G	20	6-9	1-2	1-1	3	1	1	14
Melih Tunca	G	25	4-10	2-4	3-4	2	1	0	13
Eli Rice	G	19	2-5	2-2	0-0	0	0	1	6
Josh Reed	F	19	2-5	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	5
Saša Ciani	F	12	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	5
Dominick Stewart	G	16	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	4
Mason Blackwood	F	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	4
Ivan Juric	F	24	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	2
Tibor Mirtic	F	17	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	2	0	0
Justin Houser	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0

Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lamar Wilkerson	G	24	16-22	10-15	2-2	4	4	3	0	44
Reed Bailey	F	21	6-6	0-0	6-6	5	1	1	0	18
Tayton Conerway	G	25	7-9	2-2	1-1	3	7	2	0	17
Nick Dorn	G	25	5-7	2-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	13
Tucker DeVries	F	32	5-10	2-6	0-0	1	6	1	1	12
Trent Sisley	F	22	1-4	0-3	2-4	8	1	1	0	4
Aleksa Ristic	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	3
Conor Enright	G	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	8	0	0	2
Sam Alexis	F	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Ian Stephens	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Drew Snively	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

98.2Offensive Efficiency154.2

154.2Defensive Efficiency98.2

-55.9Net Efficiency55.9

50.9%Effective FG%82.8%

54.2%True Shooting %82.9%

19.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

39.3%Free Throw Rate24.6%

28.6%3-Point Rate50.8%

0.43Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Indiana won by 41 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.