Northern Arizona

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.1%Northern Arizona

88.9%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -13.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -801

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 70

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreArizona State 83

Team Comparison

Northern ArizonaMetricArizona State

36.9MMH Power Index51

107.1Offensive Efficiency108.1

114.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

-7.7Net Efficiency-2.8

-1.8Strength of Schedule7.0

-16.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

66.6Tempo70.6

53.5%Effective FG%51.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.0%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.6%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-5.1Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–36.9), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.1), defensive efficiency (110.9–114.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–51.3), ball security (15.8–17.1).

Final

Northern Arizona

48—73

Arizona State

Arizona State by 25 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ArizonaTEAM STATArizona State

17-51FG26-52

33.0%FG%50.0%

5-263PT6-19

19.0%3PT%32.0%

9-10FT15-22

90.0%FT%68.0%

25Rebounds41

4Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists15

13Turnovers13

10Steals6

4Blocks4

20Fouls10

Player Box Score

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Shaw	G	33	6-11	3-7	6-6	4	0	2	0	21
Zack Davidson	F	28	6-8	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	12
Arne Osojnik	G	20	2-9	1-5	2-2	2	2	2	0	7
Ryan Abelman	G	33	2-9	1-6	0-0	7	1	2	0	5
Oakland Fort	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Diego Campisano	F	11	0-5	0-4	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Kavon Bradford	G	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	2	0	0
Traivar Jackson	F	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	4	0
Karl Poom	F	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Chris Komin	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brennan Peterson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Massamba Diop	C	24	8-10	0-0	3-4	6	3	0	1	19
Santiago Trouet	F	22	5-7	0-0	2-3	8	0	0	0	12
Allen Mukeba	F	20	4-5	0-0	2-4	6	0	2	0	10
Anthony Johnson	G	19	3-9	1-4	2-3	4	3	1	0	9
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	21	2-4	2-2	2-2	4	0	1	1	8
Noah Meeusen	G	23	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	5
Bryce Ford	G	18	1-5	1-5	1-2	0	0	0	2	4
Andrija Grbovic	F	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	6	2	0	0	3
Maurice Odum	G	31	0-4	0-2	2-2	3	5	1	0	2
Trevor Best	G	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

73.6Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency73.6

-38.3Net Efficiency38.3

38.2%Effective FG%55.8%

43.0%True Shooting %58.4%

20.1%Turnover Rate19.9%

19.6%Free Throw Rate42.3%

51.0%3-Point Rate36.5%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Arizona State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.