New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%New Mexico

67.5%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -208

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 75

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreVCU 80

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricVCU

63.7MMH Power Index65.7

114.8Offensive Efficiency116.4

100.2Defensive Efficiency103.3

14.6Net Efficiency13.1

2.0Strength of Schedule5.4

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

70.7Tempo69.5

53.7%Effective FG%53.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

36.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

10.3Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

New Mexico

81—78

VCU

New Mexico by 3 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATVCU

27-54FG24-62

50.0%FG%39.0%

8-183PT7-26

44.0%3PT%27.0%

19-22FT23-28

86.0%FT%82.0%

33Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds17

11Assists11

14Turnovers12

4Steals9

5Blocks4

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Hall	G	32	9-15	5-7	1-1	1	1	0	0	24
Deyton Albury	G	22	5-12	1-3	3-4	4	2	1	1	14
Tomislav Buljan	F	22	3-5	0-0	5-6	3	1	0	0	11
Uriah Tenette	G	27	3-7	0-2	2-2	3	2	2	0	8
JT Rock	C	18	3-3	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	2	7
Chris Howell	G	28	0-1	0-0	6-6	3	1	0	1	6
Luke Haupt	G	20	2-4	0-0	2-3	7	2	1	0	6
Antonio Chol	F	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nyk Lewis	G	26	5-11	3-7	1-2	3	1	1	0	14
Lazar Djokovic	F	32	4-12	1-5	4-6	5	1	0	1	13
Brandon Jennings	G	31	2-8	0-2	9-9	5	6	4	3	13
Jadrian Tracey	G	27	3-9	0-3	6-7	2	0	1	0	12
Michael Belle	F	25	4-4	1-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	9
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	16	2-4	2-4	3-3	1	2	1	0	9
Barry Evans	F	33	4-10	0-1	0-1	8	0	2	0	8
Keyshawn Mitchell	F	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Tyrell Ward	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

115.9Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency115.9

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

57.4%Effective FG%44.4%

62.8%True Shooting %51.8%

20.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

40.7%Free Throw Rate45.2%

33.3%3-Point Rate41.9%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.