Liberty

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.8%Liberty

77.2%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -339

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLiberty 74

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreNC State 83

Team Comparison

LibertyMetricNC State

53.7MMH Power Index60.1

119.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

108.0Defensive Efficiency108.6

11.0Net Efficiency9.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule6.4

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

65.3Tempo70.2

60.5%Effective FG%55.1%

13.2%Turnover Rate13.1%

19.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

32.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

7.2Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Liberty HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLiberty holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (119.0–118.4), defensive efficiency (108.0–108.6), net efficiency (11.0–9.8), recent form (-4.2–-11.9).

NC State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (60.1–53.7), strength of schedule (6.4–-2.0), ball security (13.1–13.2).

Final

Liberty

45—85

NC State

NC State by 40 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LibertyTEAM STATNC State

18-51FG31-60

35.0%FG%52.0%

6-283PT10-24

21.0%3PT%42.0%

3-10FT13-19

30.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists17

17Turnovers8

3Steals9

3Blocks3

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Liberty

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JJ Harper	G	29	6-9	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	12
Brett Decker Jr.	G	28	4-12	3-8	1-2	2	1	0	1	12
Colin Porter	G	26	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	3	2	0	5
Zander Carter	G	18	2-6	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Kaden Metheny	G	29	1-8	1-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Zander Yates	F	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Josh Smith	F	9	0-1	0-1	2-5	3	0	0	0	2
Ryan Jones Jr.	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Torr Sorensen	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Zach Cleveland	F	33	0-2	0-0	0-2	7	5	0	1	0
Drew Grimes	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brady Kester	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
TJ Drain	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
JC Shirer Jr.	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	19	6-9	0-0	1-3	6	0	2	0	13
Matt Able	G	18	4-6	1-2	4-5	4	1	1	0	13
Tre Holloman	G	24	4-7	1-4	2-3	0	2	1	0	11
Quadir Copeland	G	24	4-6	1-2	2-3	7	7	1	0	11
Darrion Williams	F	19	3-9	1-3	2-2	8	3	1	1	9
Terrance Arceneaux	G	23	2-4	2-3	2-2	3	0	0	0	8
Alyn Breed	G	18	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	1	6
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	17	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Jerry Deng	F	10	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Jordan Snell	G	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Musa Sagnia	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	2
Scottie Ebube	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	0
Colt Langdon	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

66.8Offensive Efficiency126.1

126.1Defensive Efficiency66.8

-59.3Net Efficiency59.3

41.2%Effective FG%60.0%

40.4%True Shooting %61.6%

25.5%Turnover Rate11.8%

19.6%Free Throw Rate31.7%

54.9%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.13

Game Summary

NC State won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.