Missouri

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.7%Missouri

95.3%Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -20.3

PROJECTED TOTAL160.3

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -2028

Florida

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri 70

Projected Total160.3

Projected ScoreFlorida 90

Team Comparison

MissouriMetricFlorida

57.2MMH Power Index79.7

115.1Offensive Efficiency120.9

109.7Defensive Efficiency99.3

5.4Net Efficiency21.6

5.0Strength of Schedule7.1

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency24.2

68.8Tempo72.0

55.2%Effective FG%54.2%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %42.8%

43.1%Free Throw Rate39.8%

3.8Average Margin15.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–57.2), offensive efficiency (120.9–115.1), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.7), net efficiency (21.6–5.4).

Missouri COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.2–54.2), free throw rate (43.1–39.8).

Final

Missouri

83—82

Florida

Missouri by 1 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MissouriTEAM STATFlorida

27-61FG26-54

44.0%FG%48.0%

11-293PT9-25

38.0%3PT%36.0%

18-29FT21-31

62.0%FT%68.0%

36Rebounds37

15Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists9

8Turnovers13

12Steals5

1Blocks3

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

Missouri

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Grill	Guard	30	7-11	6-10	2-4	3	2	3	0	22
Mark Mitchell	G	30	5-11	0-0	5-6	8	2	0	0	15
Anthony Robinson II	G	24	4-6	2-2	2-5	2	1	0	0	12
Tamar Bates	Guard	28	4-11	1-6	1-1	2	3	5	0	10
Trent Pierce	G	24	3-7	1-3	0-2	6	2	1	0	7
Josh Gray	Center	13	1-2	0-0	4-6	5	1	0	0	6
Jacob Crews	G	13	2-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	2	1	5
Tony Perkins	Guard	18	1-6	0-3	2-3	3	2	0	0	4
Marcus Allen	G	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
T.O. Barrett	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Peyton Marshall	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Marques Warrick	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	35	9-19	3-9	7-9	5	0	3	0	28
Alijah Martin	Guard	34	4-10	3-7	3-4	4	2	0	0	14
Will Richard	Guard	38	4-8	3-5	1-2	3	0	1	0	12
Rueben Chinyelu	C	26	4-5	0-0	3-5	10	1	0	2	11
Alex Condon	F	29	3-3	0-0	2-5	6	3	1	0	8
Thomas Haugh	F	16	1-3	0-2	5-6	5	1	0	0	7
Denzel Aberdeen	G	13	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Sam Alexis	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

120.6Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency120.6

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

53.3%Effective FG%56.5%

55.5%True Shooting %59.7%

11.8%Turnover Rate18.6%

47.5%Free Throw Rate57.4%

47.5%3-Point Rate46.3%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Missouri won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.