Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.1%Idaho State

87.9%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -726

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 68

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 83

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricUtah Valley

45.9MMH Power Index59.1

111.0Offensive Efficiency113.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency97.3

-2.4Net Efficiency16.1

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.3

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

67.1Tempo70.6

52.2%Effective FG%56.0%

16.5%Turnover Rate19.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-1.6Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (113.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (97.3–113.4), net efficiency (16.1–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.3), ball security (16.5–19.9), free throw rate (39.1–37.3).

Final

Idaho State

69—73

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 4 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATUtah Valley

24-55FG27-56

44.0%FG%48.0%

9-233PT5-21

39.0%3PT%24.0%

12-17FT14-17

71.0%FT%82.0%

25Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists16

13Turnovers17

8Steals10

1Blocks6

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Hollenbeck	F	38	7-17	3-8	1-1	3	1	1	0	18
Caleb Van De Griend	F	17	7-10	2-2	2-4	4	0	1	0	18
Jamison Guerra	PG	28	3-6	0-0	2-2	5	6	0	0	8
Lachlan Brewer	G	32	2-5	1-3	2-2	4	0	1	1	7
Martin Kheil	G	35	1-8	1-7	3-4	4	1	2	0	6
Evan Otten	F	15	2-4	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	6
Gus Etchison	PG	12	1-2	1-1	1-2	1	3	0	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Cheikh Sow	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Quin Patterson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Holcombe	G	32	8-11	1-1	1-2	7	2	2	1	18
Isaac Davis	F	28	7-10	0-1	4-6	6	0	1	0	18
Noah Taitz	G	30	3-8	2-7	3-3	4	1	1	0	11
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	16	3-8	1-5	0-0	2	0	2	0	7
Trevan Leonhardt	G	34	2-3	0-0	2-2	11	8	3	1	6
Hayden Welling	F	20	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	4	5
Tyler Hendricks	G	32	1-9	0-4	2-2	2	5	1	0	4
Isaac Hawkins	F	8	1-3	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

100.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency100.6

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

51.8%Effective FG%52.7%

54.7%True Shooting %57.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate24.6%

30.9%Free Throw Rate30.4%

41.8%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.