Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.3%Fresno State

69.7%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -5.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -230

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 75

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 81

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricCal State Northridge

47.1MMH Power Index50

104.9Offensive Efficiency107.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

0.0Net Efficiency2.1

1.5Strength of Schedule-0.6

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.4Tempo75.9

51.3%Effective FG%51.0%

18.2%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

35.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

0.0Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (107.3–104.9), net efficiency (2.1–0.0), recent form (1.8–-6.0).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–105.2), strength of schedule (1.5–-0.6), shooting efficiency (51.3–51.0).

Final

Fresno State

87—89

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 2 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATCal State Northridge

30-60FG33-60

50.0%FG%55.0%

13-293PT10-25

45.0%3PT%40.0%

14-16FT13-14

88.0%FT%93.0%

27Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists20

11Turnovers13

8Steals4

1Blocks3

12Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zaon Collins	G	37	8-15	3-7	5-7	1	3	3	0	24
DeShawn Gory	F	29	7-12	4-7	1-1	3	3	0	0	19
Jake Heidbreder	G	40	5-15	3-8	2-2	4	3	2	0	15
Cameron Faas	G	32	3-5	3-5	2-2	2	3	1	0	11
Wilson Jacques	C	31	4-7	0-0	2-2	10	2	0	1	10
DJ Stickman	G	17	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	2	2	0	6
Jac Mani	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bastien Rieber	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Makhan Diouf	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Larry Hughes II	G	37	10-16	3-9	2-2	2	1	3	0	25
Joshua O'Garro	G	37	9-15	3-5	2-3	11	4	1	1	23
Davius Loury	F	29	4-8	2-6	3-3	2	3	0	0	13
Josiah Davis	G	29	3-10	1-2	4-4	3	8	0	1	11
Mahmoud Fofana	F	30	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	0	1	6
Jordan Brinson	G	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Aleks Szymczyk	C	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
James Evans Jr.	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Grady Lewis	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

121.3Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency121.3

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

60.8%Effective FG%63.3%

64.3%True Shooting %66.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.1%

26.7%Free Throw Rate23.3%

48.3%3-Point Rate41.7%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.