App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%App State

35.6%East Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -3.9

PROJECTED TOTAL143.9

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -181

East Carolina

11-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 74

Projected Total143.9

Projected ScoreEast Carolina 70

Team Comparison

App StateMetricEast Carolina

54.2MMH Power Index44.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency102.0

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.5

9.2Net Efficiency-8.5

-4.2Strength of Schedule2.6

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

64.9Tempo70.1

51.1%Effective FG%46.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate17.4%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

39.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

6.0Average Margin-5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–44.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–102.0), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.5), net efficiency (9.2–-8.5).

East Carolina COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.6–-4.2), free throw rate (40.2–39.8).

Final

App State

67—54

East Carolina

App State by 13 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATEast Carolina

27-57FG22-62

47.0%FG%35.0%

5-213PT4-20

24.0%3PT%20.0%

8-12FT6-12

67.0%FT%50.0%

41Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds13

9Assists12

16Turnovers9

5Steals9

5Blocks5

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kasen Jennings	G	36	6-12	3-6	5-5	5	2	1	1	20
Alonzo Dodd	G	34	8-16	1-4	0-2	7	2	1	0	17
Luke Wilson	C	33	7-9	0-0	0-0	10	0	1	4	14
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	21	2-5	0-2	3-3	5	2	0	0	7
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	22	2-3	1-2	0-2	3	1	1	0	5
Eren Banks	G	29	2-10	0-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Chad Moodie	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Andrin Njock	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jacari Brim	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

East Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Riley	G	37	10-23	0-2	6-8	7	1	3	0	26
Giovanni Emejuru	C	30	5-8	0-0	0-4	8	2	2	1	10
Tybo Bailey	G	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	6
Luke Davis	F	28	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
Isaiah Mbeng	G	24	1-5	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
Vito Perkovic	F	10	1-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Corey Caulker	G	27	1-7	0-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Paddy D'Arcy	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayshayne Woodard	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Reid Cason	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

102.8Offensive Efficiency82.8

82.8Defensive Efficiency102.8

19.9Net Efficiency-19.9

51.8%Effective FG%38.7%

53.4%True Shooting %39.9%

24.0%Turnover Rate14.1%

21.1%Free Throw Rate19.4%

36.8%3-Point Rate32.3%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

App State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.