North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.2%North Dakota State

7.8%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -1182

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 86

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 70

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricCal State Bakersfield

59MMH Power Index32.2

115.4Offensive Efficiency100.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency112.6

14.6Net Efficiency-12.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule-1.7

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

69.6Tempo73.0

54.5%Effective FG%46.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate43.8%

10.1Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–32.2), offensive efficiency (115.4–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.8–112.6), net efficiency (14.6–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.6), free throw rate (43.8–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

80—69

Cal State Bakersfield

North Dakota State by 11 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

24-61FG24-64

39.0%FG%38.0%

6-253PT4-16

24.0%3PT%25.0%

26-37FT17-21

70.0%FT%81.0%

48Rebounds37

21Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists8

14Turnovers16

11Steals9

4Blocks7

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	34	3-11	1-6	14-18	4	1	3	0	21
Markhi Strickland	G	29	6-11	0-0	3-6	5	0	2	1	15
Andy Stefonowicz	G	33	4-7	3-4	2-2	2	1	2	0	13
Treyson Anderson	F	21	5-11	1-3	0-0	9	0	1	1	11
Trevian Carson	G	36	4-7	0-2	2-3	7	4	3	0	10
Riley Massey	G	13	1-4	1-4	2-4	2	0	0	0	5
Noah Feddersen	F	20	1-6	0-2	2-2	9	0	0	1	4
Carson Smith	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	1	1
Tay Smith	G	8	0-4	0-4	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Jessamy	F	28	7-11	0-0	4-5	6	1	2	4	18
CJ Hardy	G	28	4-9	0-4	5-5	3	3	1	1	13
Tom Mark	F	27	3-7	1-1	1-1	3	0	2	2	8
Jaden Alexander	G	26	3-9	0-1	2-4	4	0	2	0	8
Mike Price	G	19	3-9	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Dailin Smith	G	30	1-9	1-5	3-4	3	2	0	0	6
AJ George	G	25	2-9	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	2
Kadar Waller	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

109.1Offensive Efficiency94.1

94.1Defensive Efficiency109.1

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

44.3%Effective FG%40.6%

50.9%True Shooting %46.6%

19.6%Turnover Rate21.3%

60.7%Free Throw Rate32.8%

41.0%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.