Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.8%Missouri State

58.2%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADXavier -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.7

MODEL MONEYLINEXavier -139

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 77

Projected Total156.7

Projected ScoreXavier 80

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricXavier

51.1MMH Power Index49.5

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.2

108.4Defensive Efficiency112.4

2.1Net Efficiency-3.2

0.5Strength of Schedule5.6

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

67.9Tempo71.7

51.8%Effective FG%51.7%

16.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate28.9%

1.4Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–49.5), offensive efficiency (110.5–109.2), defensive efficiency (108.4–112.4), net efficiency (2.1–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–0.5), ball security (13.9–16.4).

Final

Missouri State

57—75

Xavier

Xavier by 18 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATXavier

21-53FG28-65

40.0%FG%43.0%

3-143PT12-30

21.0%3PT%40.0%

12-15FT7-12

80.0%FT%58.0%

36Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds13

15Assists23

13Turnovers6

4Steals8

3Blocks8

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	35	9-22	1-6	4-5	11	5	0	1	23
Darrion Sutton	F	25	6-10	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	1	12
Kobi Williams	G	35	3-8	1-2	2-3	3	0	0	0	9
Zaxton King	G	31	0-4	0-2	3-3	3	3	0	0	3
Trey Williams Jr.	G	26	1-6	1-3	0-0	6	6	2	0	3
Cameron Boone	F	14	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	1	3
Melakih Cunningham	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Logan Epes	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Milicevic	F	27	6-11	2-4	3-4	7	2	1	0	17
Filip Borovicanin	F	36	5-9	3-5	0-0	11	8	1	1	13
Tre Carroll	F	33	4-11	3-5	2-5	7	4	1	2	13
All Wright	G	21	4-7	2-3	0-0	0	3	1	1	10
Malik Messina-Moore	G	32	2-7	1-4	2-2	1	3	2	0	7
Roddie Anderson III	G	17	3-11	0-4	0-1	4	2	1	0	6
Isaiah Walker	G	17	3-7	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Ian Sabourin	F	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Pape N'Diaye	F	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	4	0
Mier Panoam	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

89.9Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency89.9

-28.4Net Efficiency28.4

42.5%Effective FG%52.3%

47.4%True Shooting %53.0%

20.6%Turnover Rate9.4%

28.3%Free Throw Rate18.5%

26.4%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.15Assist / Turnover3.83

Game Summary

Xavier won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.