East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%East Tennessee State

55.5%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -125

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 75

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 78

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricAustin Peay

57.4MMH Power Index54.8

115.1Offensive Efficiency115.0

102.8Defensive Efficiency103.1

12.3Net Efficiency11.9

-1.6Strength of Schedule-5.8

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

67.4Tempo71.0

55.4%Effective FG%53.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

35.0%Free Throw Rate39.0%

8.3Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–54.8), offensive efficiency (115.1–115.0), defensive efficiency (102.8–103.1), net efficiency (12.3–11.9).

Austin Peay COUNTERS WITHrecent form (8.1–3.7), offensive rebounding (30.3–28.8), free throw rate (39.0–35.0).

Final

East Tennessee State

75—76

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 1 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATAustin Peay

28-61FG25-62

46.0%FG%40.0%

8-283PT11-33

29.0%3PT%33.0%

11-14FT15-17

79.0%FT%88.0%

35Rebounds37

9Offensive Rebounds12

17Assists17

12Turnovers11

8Steals10

8Blocks4

18Fouls11

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	33	8-14	3-8	0-0	4	3	1	0	19
Blake Barkley	F	33	3-8	1-3	5-5	7	2	1	1	12
Cam Morris III	F	21	4-7	0-1	4-6	3	1	2	1	12
Brayden Crump	F	19	4-7	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	1	8
Jaylen Smith	G	23	3-10	1-6	0-0	3	5	1	0	7
Milton Matthews III	G	10	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Allen Strothers	G	27	2-8	0-2	1-1	5	4	2	2	5
Jordan McCullum	F	14	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	2	4
Maki Johnson	G	20	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zyree Collins	PG	37	7-12	1-4	10-12	6	9	3	0	25
Rashaud Marshall	F	40	6-16	0-0	5-5	11	1	2	2	17
Matt Enright	PG	37	6-12	5-10	0-0	3	1	2	0	17
Collin Parker	F	38	3-10	2-8	0-0	9	3	1	2	8
Tate McCubbin	G	28	2-8	2-7	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Anton Brookshire	PG	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Quan Lax	PG	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Tyler Wagner	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.7

108.7Defensive Efficiency107.3

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

52.5%Effective FG%49.2%

55.4%True Shooting %54.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

23.0%Free Throw Rate27.4%

45.9%3-Point Rate53.2%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.