UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%UC Santa Barbara

79.7%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -393

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 71

Projected Total151.4

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 81

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUtah Valley

51.4MMH Power Index59.1

113.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.1Net Efficiency16.1

-2.0Strength of Schedule-3.3

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

68.5Tempo70.6

54.8%Effective FG%56.0%

18.7%Turnover Rate19.9%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

4.8Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (113.4–113.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–106.1), net efficiency (16.1–7.1).

UC Santa Barbara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-3.3), ball security (18.7–19.9), free throw rate (37.9–37.3).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

53—68

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 15 • 67.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUtah Valley

19-53FG23-57

36.0%FG%40.0%

3-133PT8-22

23.0%3PT%36.0%

12-14FT14-18

86.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds13

7Assists17

19Turnovers15

11Steals12

3Blocks7

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Colin Smith	F	31	3-9	1-4	3-4	3	1	2	1	10
Zion Sensley	G	27	4-10	0-3	0-0	10	0	1	0	8
Marvin McGhee IV	G	18	2-2	2-2	2-2	4	0	3	0	8
Evans Kipruto	C	14	2-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	6
Koat Keat Tong	F	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Aidan Mahaney	G	34	1-12	0-2	3-3	2	2	1	0	5
Hosana Kitenge	F	21	2-6	0-0	0-1	4	0	2	0	4
Zachiah Clark	G	8	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
CJ Shaw	G	35	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	1	2
Michael Simcoe	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Welling	F	21	6-11	3-6	3-3	4	0	0	0	18
Tyler Hendricks	G	36	5-9	3-6	0-0	3	1	3	0	13
Noah Taitz	G	31	4-10	2-6	2-2	2	2	2	0	12
Trevan Leonhardt	G	36	2-5	0-0	4-5	9	10	3	2	8
Isaac Davis	F	25	3-11	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	7
Jackson Holcombe	G	25	1-6	0-1	4-4	11	1	3	2	6
Isaac Hawkins	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	4
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tyler Medaris	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.7Possessions67.7

78.3Offensive Efficiency100.4

100.4Defensive Efficiency78.3

-22.2Net Efficiency22.2

38.7%Effective FG%47.4%

44.4%True Shooting %51.9%

28.1%Turnover Rate22.2%

26.4%Free Throw Rate31.6%

24.5%3-Point Rate38.6%

0.37Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 67.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.