Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Illinois State

85.6%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -594

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 69

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreUtah State 81

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricUtah State

54.3MMH Power Index65.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency119.7

101.4Defensive Efficiency103.1

9.2Net Efficiency16.6

1.0Strength of Schedule3.5

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

67.5Tempo68.6

54.3%Effective FG%56.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.1%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

32.0%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.2Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–54.3), offensive efficiency (119.7–110.6), net efficiency (16.6–9.2), strength of schedule (3.5–1.0).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–103.1).

Final

Illinois State

78—83

Utah State

Utah State by 5 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATUtah State

30-51FG32-61

59.0%FG%52.0%

5-143PT7-18

36.0%3PT%39.0%

13-16FT12-15

81.0%FT%80.0%

18Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds19

10Assists18

17Turnovers16

11Steals8

3Blocks1

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ty Pence	G	33	8-9	0-0	5-5	4	1	2	1	21
Landon Moore	G	17	5-6	2-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	14
Johnny Kinziger	G	37	4-14	1-4	4-4	1	5	4	0	13
Boden Skunberg	G	30	4-8	2-5	2-3	3	1	2	0	12
Chase Walker	F	28	6-9	0-1	0-0	3	1	2	1	12
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Mason Klabo	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	0	2
Cameron Barnes	F	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Landon Wolf	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Brandon Lieb	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jack Daugherty	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	36	6-13	4-6	4-6	2	3	1	0	20
Garry Clark	F	25	7-8	0-1	4-4	8	2	2	0	18
Mason Falslev	G	33	6-13	0-1	4-5	6	4	4	0	16
Drake Allen	G	27	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	4	1	0	9
Zach Keller	F	15	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Kolby King	G	11	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Adlan Elamin	F	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Elijah Perryman	G	10	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	3	0	1	2
Tucker Anderson	F	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Karson Templin	F	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jordy Barnes	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

116.6Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency116.6

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

63.7%Effective FG%58.2%

66.6%True Shooting %60.9%

24.8%Turnover Rate24.6%

31.4%Free Throw Rate24.6%

27.5%3-Point Rate29.5%

0.59Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Utah State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.