Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.9%Northern Illinois

91.1%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADElon -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEElon -1024

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 70

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreElon 85

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricElon

29.2MMH Power Index45.5

99.7Offensive Efficiency113.0

111.6Defensive Efficiency112.7

-11.9Net Efficiency0.3

-2.1Strength of Schedule-1.4

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

69.7Tempo69.1

48.5%Effective FG%52.6%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-8.3Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–29.2), offensive efficiency (113.0–99.7), net efficiency (0.3–-11.9), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–112.7), free throw rate (39.6–34.0).

Final

Northern Illinois

79—85

Elon

Elon by 6 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATElon

24-58FG29-56

41.0%FG%52.0%

11-303PT3-19

37.0%3PT%16.0%

20-27FT24-33

74.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists12

13Turnovers9

5Steals7

1Blocks2

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhai Valentine	G	34	7-16	3-10	0-0	10	1	2	0	17
Gustav Winther	F	37	5-9	0-0	5-11	9	1	2	0	15
Dylan Ducommun	G	38	3-10	2-6	4-4	3	4	0	1	12
Jao Ituka	G	11	2-7	2-5	6-6	0	1	1	0	12
Daemar Kelly	G	27	2-8	1-5	3-4	4	5	0	0	8
Gianni Cobb	G	23	2-3	1-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Taj Walters	G	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	0	5
Hassan Washington	F	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kacper Klaczek	F	27	9-11	1-2	4-8	6	3	2	0	23
Chandler Cuthrell	F	30	7-12	0-1	7-11	6	1	1	0	21
Randall Pettus II	G	29	4-6	2-3	3-3	3	2	1	1	13
DeMarco Johnson	G	18	2-3	0-0	3-4	4	1	1	0	7
Ned Hull	G	17	1-4	0-3	4-4	2	1	0	0	6
Ja'Juan Carr	G	27	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Bryson Cokley	G	22	2-6	0-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Isaac Harrell	F	20	1-6	0-4	1-1	5	0	1	0	3
Bryson Spell	F	5	1-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Caleb Middleton	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Iker Garmendia	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

111.6Offensive Efficiency120.1

120.1Defensive Efficiency111.6

-8.5Net Efficiency8.5

50.9%Effective FG%54.5%

55.8%True Shooting %59.3%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.9%

46.6%Free Throw Rate58.9%

51.7%3-Point Rate33.9%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Elon won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.