Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.3%Toledo

55.7%Robert Morris

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRobert Morris -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINERobert Morris -126

Robert Morris

22-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 77

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreRobert Morris 80

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricRobert Morris

58.8MMH Power Index56.3

116.0Offensive Efficiency114.5

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.6

6.4Net Efficiency7.9

2.3Strength of Schedule-2.4

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.3

69.8Tempo67.6

55.1%Effective FG%55.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate18.5%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %38.4%

30.3%Free Throw Rate28.3%

4.5Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–56.3), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.5), strength of schedule (2.3–-2.4), shooting efficiency (55.1–55.0).

Robert Morris COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.6–109.6), net efficiency (7.9–6.4), recent form (14.3–10.2).

Final

Toledo

70—75

Robert Morris

Robert Morris by 5 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATRobert Morris

20-60FG26-58

33.0%FG%45.0%

4-123PT5-21

33.0%3PT%24.0%

26-30FT18-28

87.0%FT%64.0%

35Rebounds46

10Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists15

7Turnovers9

2Steals1

2Blocks1

26Fouls23

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sonny Wilson	G	38	6-13	2-4	7-8	1	1	1	0	21
Sean Craig	F	35	5-13	0-1	5-5	6	1	0	0	15
Austin Parks	C	26	4-10	0-1	5-5	8	0	0	2	13
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	28	2-12	0-1	4-4	7	2	0	0	8
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	27	1-3	1-2	4-7	5	1	0	0	7
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	16	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Will James Jr.	G	14	1-3	0-0	1-1	2	1	0	0	3
Phoenix Glassnor	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Mynor Strong	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
London Praytor	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Robert Morris

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Prather Jr.	G	36	6-14	2-6	3-5	10	3	0	0	17
DeSean Goode	F	28	6-8	0-1	5-6	8	0	1	0	17
Albert Vargas	G	34	4-12	1-4	7-8	2	5	0	0	16
Nikolaos Chitikoudis	F	32	6-8	0-0	0-3	14	3	0	0	12
Cam Wilds	G	27	2-7	1-3	2-4	3	1	0	1	7
Ta'Zir Smith	G	20	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Josh Hill	F	11	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Kaleb Brown	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ubong Okon	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

101.7Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency101.7

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

36.7%Effective FG%49.1%

47.1%True Shooting %52.6%

9.8%Turnover Rate13.6%

50.0%Free Throw Rate48.3%

20.0%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Robert Morris won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.