Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.6%Western Illinois

92.4%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -1216

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 66

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 83

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricNorth Dakota

25.9MMH Power Index43.7

96.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

113.9Defensive Efficiency110.2

-17.7Net Efficiency-1.0

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.4

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

67.5Tempo70.1

45.4%Effective FG%50.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.5%

-11.9Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.7–25.9), offensive efficiency (109.2–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.2–113.9), net efficiency (-1.0–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.4).

Final

Western Illinois

69—66

North Dakota

Western Illinois by 3 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATNorth Dakota

23-70FG21-55

33.0%FG%38.0%

3-193PT6-29

16.0%3PT%21.0%

20-25FT18-25

80.0%FT%72.0%

51Rebounds39

25Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists10

16Turnovers17

9Steals4

5Blocks10

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	6-15	1-4	5-8	2	1	3	1	18
Karyiek Dixon	F	35	6-10	0-0	5-6	18	0	1	1	17
Lucas Lorenzen	G	40	3-13	1-9	7-8	6	1	0	0	14
Francis Okwuosah	F	20	3-6	1-3	2-2	2	0	2	2	9
Antwaun Massey	F	11	2-5	0-0	1-1	2	2	0	0	5
Makai Kvamme	G	42	2-12	0-0	0-0	5	4	2	1	4
Danny Stephens	G	12	1-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Goanar Biliew	F	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Tyran Cook	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Nick Hittle	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eli King	G	41	3-9	2-6	5-6	5	2	2	4	13
Greyson Uelmen	G	28	3-7	0-1	7-8	3	2	1	0	13
Garrett Anderson	G	31	4-10	1-5	2-2	6	1	0	0	11
Josh Jones	C	25	4-4	0-0	0-2	4	1	0	3	8
George Natsvlishvili	F	20	3-4	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	0	8
Marley Curtis	F	15	1-5	1-4	2-4	2	0	0	0	5
Zach Kraft	G	37	1-10	1-10	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Reggie Thomas	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	2	0	2	3
Anthony Smith III	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Karson Ouse	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

95.3Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency95.3

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

35.0%Effective FG%43.6%

42.1%True Shooting %49.3%

22.0%Turnover Rate23.7%

35.7%Free Throw Rate45.5%

27.1%3-Point Rate52.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.59

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.