North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

71.0%North Dakota State

29.0%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -245

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 79

Projected Total152.3

Projected ScoreDrake 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricDrake

59MMH Power Index46.4

115.4Offensive Efficiency109.5

100.8Defensive Efficiency109.1

14.6Net Efficiency0.4

-4.6Strength of Schedule0.3

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

69.6Tempo68.6

54.5%Effective FG%52.2%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

31.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

10.1Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.4–109.5), defensive efficiency (100.8–109.1), net efficiency (14.6–0.4).

Drake COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-4.6), ball security (14.9–15.5), free throw rate (34.4–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

99—94

Drake

North Dakota State by 5 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATDrake

33-62FG27-52

53.0%FG%52.0%

19-333PT14-27

58.0%3PT%52.0%

14-22FT26-29

64.0%FT%90.0%

27Rebounds33

6Offensive Rebounds6

23Assists22

5Turnovers13

9Steals2

—Blocks2

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trevian Carson	G	32	11-15	5-7	2-5	7	3	3	29
Andy Stefonowicz	G	36	7-10	6-7	2-2	1	5	2	22
Treyson Anderson	F	24	5-9	4-7	1-3	7	2	0	15
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	36	3-13	2-7	6-8	3	9	3	14
Markhi Strickland	G	24	4-8	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	9
Carson Smith	G	14	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	5
Riley Massey	G	8	1-1	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	5
Noah Feddersen	F	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0
Tay Smith	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	38	5-10	2-4	12-12	6	6	1	0	24
Okku Federiko	F	32	5-10	0-2	8-8	5	2	0	2	18
Eli Shetlar	G	34	5-8	5-8	1-2	3	3	1	0	16
Andrew Alia	G	28	4-6	4-6	3-4	4	1	0	0	15
Jaehshon Thomas	G	18	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	6
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	14	2-5	0-1	2-3	6	1	0	0	6
Isaiah Carr	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Owen Larson	G	21	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	5	0	0	3
Braden Appelhans	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

137.1Offensive Efficiency130.2

130.2Defensive Efficiency137.1

6.9Net Efficiency-6.9

68.5%Effective FG%65.4%

68.3%True Shooting %71.5%

7.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

35.5%Free Throw Rate55.8%

53.2%3-Point Rate51.9%

4.60Assist / Turnover1.69

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.