Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.3%Jacksonville State

29.7%Georgia State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -237

Georgia State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 69

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricGeorgia State

51.2MMH Power Index38.9

108.2Offensive Efficiency101.3

101.8Defensive Efficiency107.5

6.4Net Efficiency-6.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.9

67.2Tempo69.5

51.0%Effective FG%45.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

44.5%Free Throw Rate37.4%

4.3Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–38.9), offensive efficiency (108.2–101.3), defensive efficiency (101.8–107.5), net efficiency (6.4–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.3), ball security (15.6–17.0).

Final

Jacksonville State

73—77

Georgia State

Georgia State by 4 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATGeorgia State

28-66FG21-52

42.0%FG%40.0%

7-223PT8-24

32.0%3PT%33.0%

10-20FT27-32

50.0%FT%84.0%

36Rebounds37

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists11

4Turnovers7

4Steals1

2Blocks3

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	24	7-12	1-3	3-7	8	1	1	0	18
Jamar Franklin	G	30	5-14	5-10	0-2	8	0	0	1	15
Jacoby Hill	G	29	6-10	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Iaroslav Niagu	F	23	2-4	0-0	6-6	3	1	1	0	10
AC Bryant	G	28	2-10	1-6	0-1	5	0	1	0	5
Aitor Anabitarte	F	15	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	1	0	5
Toby Nnadozie	G	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Jaye Nash	G	22	1-6	0-1	0-2	1	6	0	0	2
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	2

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	33	5-15	2-8	11-12	3	3	0	1	23
Micah Tucker	G	38	4-7	1-2	7-7	2	3	0	0	16
Jakai Newton	G	18	3-6	2-3	5-7	3	0	1	0	13
Anthony Enoh	F	22	2-6	1-3	2-2	12	1	0	1	7
Trey Scott III	F	29	3-7	0-2	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Joah Chappelle	F	13	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Ayouba Berthe	G	13	1-3	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
Malachi Brown	G	26	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
James Cooper	F	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency110.8

-6.1Net Efficiency6.1

47.7%Effective FG%48.1%

48.3%True Shooting %57.3%

6.0%Turnover Rate10.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate61.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate46.2%

2.75Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.