Jackson State

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.7%Jackson State

96.3%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -21.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -2603

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJackson State 65

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 87

Team Comparison

Jackson StateMetricNorthwestern

30.7MMH Power Index55.4

98.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

117.0Defensive Efficiency109.8

-18.9Net Efficiency1.8

-0.7Strength of Schedule5.6

-6.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

71.6Tempo65.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.9%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.0%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-13.5Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–30.7), offensive efficiency (111.6–98.1), defensive efficiency (109.8–117.0), net efficiency (1.8–-18.9).

Jackson State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (29.6–28.2), free throw rate (37.9–34.8).

Final

Jackson State

53—93

Northwestern

Northwestern by 40 • 72.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jackson StateTEAM STATNorthwestern

16-56FG28-56

29.0%FG%50.0%

6-253PT7-26

24.0%3PT%27.0%

15-23FT30-39

65.0%FT%77.0%

29Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists21

13Turnovers10

7Steals5

1Blocks6

26Fouls19

Player Box Score

Jackson State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Daeshun Ruffin	G	24	6-12	3-5	5-5	1	2	1	0	20
Dorian McMillian	G	27	4-9	1-5	0-0	8	2	2	0	9
Raevon Thomas	F	16	1-3	0-0	3-4	3	0	1	0	5
Jayme Mitchell Jr.	G	27	1-7	1-6	1-2	1	2	1	0	4
Mike Williams	G	21	2-11	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Devin Ree	F	14	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Tamarion Hoover	G	16	1-6	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Delyle Williams	G	18	0-2	0-0	2-6	1	0	1	0	2
Kobe Butler	F	6	0-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Ebo Wilson	C	15	0-0	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	0
Deyan Kolev	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Kedrick Simmons	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	22	8-10	1-2	5-6	5	1	0	0	22
Angelo Ciaravino	G	18	5-6	0-0	3-4	5	4	0	0	13
Arrinten Page	F	19	4-6	0-1	4-5	7	3	1	1	12
Tre Singleton	F	23	2-4	0-1	5-7	4	0	0	1	9
Jayden Reid	G	20	2-5	0-2	5-7	3	2	1	1	9
Max Green	G	20	2-6	2-6	2-2	2	4	0	0	8
Jake West	G	20	1-5	1-3	5-6	1	3	1	0	8
Justin Mullins	G	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	8	0	0	2	6
Jordan Clayton	G	23	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	2	1	1	3
Tyler Kropp	F	8	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Phoenix Gill	G	6	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	0	1
Gus Hurlburt	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
K.J. Windham	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.7Possessions72.7

72.9Offensive Efficiency127.9

127.9Defensive Efficiency72.9

-55.0Net Efficiency55.0

33.9%Effective FG%56.3%

39.6%True Shooting %62.4%

18.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

41.1%Free Throw Rate69.6%

44.6%3-Point Rate46.4%

0.54Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 72.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.