Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.1%Northern Kentucky

37.9%Bellarmine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL166.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -164

Bellarmine

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 85

Projected Total166.2

Projected ScoreBellarmine 81

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricBellarmine

53.9MMH Power Index44.9

114.9Offensive Efficiency119.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency122.1

7.8Net Efficiency-2.5

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.8

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

72.3Tempo66.9

54.5%Effective FG%60.0%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %22.7%

37.1%Free Throw Rate35.3%

5.7Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–44.9), defensive efficiency (107.1–122.1), net efficiency (7.8–-2.5), recent form (4.6–0.3).

Bellarmine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.6–114.9), strength of schedule (-2.8–-2.9), shooting efficiency (60.0–54.5).

Final

Northern Kentucky

80—76

Bellarmine

Northern Kentucky by 4 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATBellarmine

32-63FG27-54

51.0%FG%50.0%

8-253PT9-23

32.0%3PT%39.0%

8-17FT13-13

47.0%FT%100.0%

32Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists19

10Turnovers18

14Steals4

2Blocks3

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
LJ Wells	F	36	7-10	1-2	2-4	8	2	1	2	17
Dan Gherezgher	G	35	7-15	2-8	1-2	3	3	2	0	17
Kael Robinson	F	23	6-9	3-4	0-0	2	2	2	0	15
Donovan Oday	G	30	5-11	0-4	3-5	6	2	3	0	13
Tae Dozier	G	25	5-10	2-5	0-1	1	3	2	0	12
Ethan Elliott	G	29	1-5	0-2	1-3	3	3	1	0	3
Ryan Tolliver	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Donovan Rakotonanahary	G	17	0-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	3	0	1
Bryce Darbyshire	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	33	7-13	1-5	6-6	8	1	1	1	21
Kenyon Goodin	G	35	5-11	3-7	2-2	5	3	0	0	15
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	23	5-9	1-2	3-3	2	0	1	0	14
Sam Donald	F	27	3-7	3-5	0-0	4	4	1	2	9
Brian Waddell	F	37	4-8	0-1	0-0	7	3	0	0	8
Myles Watkins	G	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Donovan Hunter	F	24	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	3	0	0	3
Darrius Bolden	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	4	1	0	2
Grant Whitaker	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

114.0Offensive Efficiency108.3

108.3Defensive Efficiency114.0

5.7Net Efficiency-5.7

57.1%Effective FG%58.3%

56.3%True Shooting %63.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate25.3%

27.0%Free Throw Rate24.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.