Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Providence

58.5%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -141

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreButler 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricButler

54.2MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

74.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Providence

110—113

Butler

Butler by 3 • 85.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATButler

41-86FG38-81

48.0%FG%47.0%

14-373PT10-28

38.0%3PT%36.0%

14-18FT27-38

78.0%FT%71.0%

45Rebounds50

17Offensive Rebounds21

21Assists23

9Turnovers7

5Steals6

6Blocks5

25Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jason Edwards	G	33	12-22	6-13	2-2	2	6	1	1	32
Jaylin Sellers	G	44	8-21	4-6	6-6	6	1	0	1	26
Jamier Jones	F	29	5-6	1-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	11
Stefan Vaaks	G	36	4-16	1-10	1-2	2	3	1	0	10
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	25	4-7	1-2	1-1	6	3	1	0	10
Duncan Powell	F	20	4-7	1-4	1-3	8	3	1	1	10
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	35	4-5	0-0	1-2	10	1	1	1	9
Ryan Mela	G	13	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Cole Hargrove	F	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	2	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	45	8-18	1-4	11-16	15	2	2	1	28
Finley Bizjack	G	44	8-21	2-10	8-8	2	0	0	1	26
Evan Haywood	G	35	7-13	4-8	0-0	2	4	2	0	18
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	37	6-9	2-4	1-3	5	5	2	0	15
Drayton Jones	C	33	3-6	0-0	5-7	7	8	0	2	11
Azavier Robinson	G	19	4-7	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Yohan Traore	F	17	2-4	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	0	4
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Yame Butler	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

85.9Possessions85.9

128.1Offensive Efficiency131.5

131.5Defensive Efficiency128.1

-3.5Net Efficiency3.5

55.8%Effective FG%53.1%

58.2%True Shooting %57.0%

10.4%Turnover Rate8.2%

20.9%Free Throw Rate46.9%

43.0%3-Point Rate34.6%

2.33Assist / Turnover3.29

Game Summary

Butler won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 85.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.