UNC Wilmington

27-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.9%UNC Wilmington

37.1%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -170

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 74

Projected Total144.4

Projected ScoreValparaiso 71

Team Comparison

UNC WilmingtonMetricValparaiso

59.2MMH Power Index49.9

114.1Offensive Efficiency106.6

101.7Defensive Efficiency105.8

12.4Net Efficiency0.8

-1.5Strength of Schedule0.3

5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.9Tempo67.5

51.1%Effective FG%48.7%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

35.8%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

41.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

8.3Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–49.9), offensive efficiency (114.1–106.6), defensive efficiency (101.7–105.8), net efficiency (12.4–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.3–-1.5).

Final

UNC Wilmington

73—70

Valparaiso

UNC Wilmington by 3 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC WilmingtonTEAM STATValparaiso

24-60FG23-65

40.0%FG%35.0%

6-223PT6-25

27.0%3PT%24.0%

19-33FT18-24

58.0%FT%75.0%

46Rebounds39

22Offensive Rebounds18

10Assists10

9Turnovers6

2Steals3

—Blocks3

24Fouls25

Player Box Score

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nolan Hodge	G	35	7-13	4-10	10-12	4	2	1	28
Noah Ross	G	35	7-12	0-2	4-9	6	1	1	18
Gavin Walsh	F	33	4-11	1-4	2-7	14	0	0	11
Christian May	G	30	2-8	1-4	0-0	6	3	0	5
Madison Durr	G	24	1-4	0-2	3-5	2	1	0	5
Patrick Wessler	F	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	4
Greedy Williams	G	21	1-5	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	2
Makoi Mabor Makoi	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JT Pettigrew	F	32	5-15	0-4	7-10	10	1	0	0	17
Justus McNair	G	16	6-7	0-1	3-3	0	1	1	0	15
Isaiah Barnes	G	22	3-10	2-4	2-3	1	0	0	1	10
Brody Whitaker	G	22	2-4	1-3	3-4	1	1	1	0	8
Shon Tupuola	C	27	2-5	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	1	7
Rakim Chaney	G	20	2-10	1-6	0-0	6	3	1	1	5
Mark Brown Jr.	G	17	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Carter Hopoi	F	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Owen Dease	F	20	1-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Tucker Tornatta	C	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sader Servilus	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

114.8Offensive Efficiency110.1

110.1Defensive Efficiency114.8

4.7Net Efficiency-4.7

45.0%Effective FG%40.0%

48.2%True Shooting %45.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate9.3%

55.0%Free Throw Rate36.9%

36.7%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.11Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.