UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%UC Davis

63.8%Oregon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.6

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon -176

Oregon

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Projected Total150.6

Projected ScoreOregon 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricOregon

48.4MMH Power Index48.9

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.7

3.5Net Efficiency-4.3

-1.9Strength of Schedule6.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.4Tempo66.7

52.3%Effective FG%49.9%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.8%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

41.5%Free Throw Rate36.9%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.2–106.4), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.7), net efficiency (3.5–-4.3), recent form (-0.1–-6.7).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.9–48.4), strength of schedule (6.0–-1.9), offensive rebounding (31.6–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

62—104

Oregon

Oregon by 42 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATOregon

20-57FG37-61

35.0%FG%61.0%

7-263PT10-21

27.0%3PT%48.0%

15-19FT20-27

79.0%FT%74.0%

21Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists22

14Turnovers12

7Steals9

1Blocks5

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	25	5-10	2-5	3-4	2	0	1	0	15
Jalen Stokes	G	19	2-2	1-1	4-4	3	1	0	0	9
Brayden Fagbemi	G	19	3-5	2-3	1-2	2	4	2	0	9
Niko Rocak	F	21	2-5	0-2	2-3	5	2	1	1	6
Marcus Wilson	G	16	1-5	0-2	4-4	0	1	0	0	6
Connor Sevilla	G	27	2-10	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Isaiah Chappell	F	25	2-7	1-6	0-0	1	0	2	0	5
Nils Cooper	G	22	2-7	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Omer Suljanovic	F	12	1-4	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Chase Rawlins	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Abdullah Amzil	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Shelstad	G	30	7-13	3-6	4-4	4	9	3	0	21
Takai Simpkins	G	26	7-8	3-4	1-2	2	2	1	2	18
Ege Demir	C	19	7-12	0-0	1-3	11	0	2	1	15
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	28	5-5	2-2	2-2	13	3	1	0	14
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	26	0-3	0-2	8-10	5	1	1	0	8
Sean Stewart	F	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	4	4	1	0	8
Wei Lin	G	21	3-7	1-3	1-2	0	1	0	0	8
Nate Bittle	C	7	2-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	2	4
Oleksandr Kobzystyi	F	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	3
Drew Carter	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jamari Phillips	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

85.6Offensive Efficiency143.6

143.6Defensive Efficiency85.6

-58.0Net Efficiency58.0

41.2%Effective FG%68.9%

47.0%True Shooting %70.4%

19.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.3%Free Throw Rate44.3%

45.6%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Oregon won by 42 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.