Pittsburgh

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.2%Pittsburgh

81.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -10.7

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -449

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePittsburgh 68

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreVillanova 78

Team Comparison

PittsburghMetricVillanova

50.5MMH Power Index59.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency114.7

110.4Defensive Efficiency105.9

-2.0Net Efficiency8.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.4

-6.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

65.0Tempo67.3

51.4%Effective FG%53.9%

17.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-1.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–50.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–108.4), defensive efficiency (105.9–110.4), net efficiency (8.8–-2.0).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.4), offensive rebounding (33.1–31.8).

Final

Pittsburgh

61—79

Villanova

Villanova by 18 • 58.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PittsburghTEAM STATVillanova

24-57FG26-50

42.0%FG%52.0%

5-223PT9-22

23.0%3PT%41.0%

8-12FT18-24

67.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds27

16Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists20

12Turnovers3

2Steals4

1Blocks2

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	39	7-11	3-6	0-1	5	0	0	1	17
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	25	6-13	1-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	14
Damarco Minor	G	30	4-9	1-4	1-2	5	2	2	0	10
Cameron Corhen	F	29	4-9	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
Brandin Cummings	G	28	2-8	0-5	2-2	1	4	0	0	6
Omari Witherspoon	G	19	1-4	0-1	1-1	5	1	0	0	3
Macari Moore	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Roman Siulepa	F	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Kieran Mullen	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duke Brennan	F	34	8-8	0-0	8-12	9	4	0	1	24
Bryce Lindsay	G	32	8-18	4-11	4-4	1	3	0	0	24
Acaden Lewis	G	31	4-9	1-1	2-2	3	7	2	0	11
Matt Hodge	F	26	3-6	2-4	0-0	4	2	1	0	8
Devin Askew	G	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	5
Chris Jeffrey	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Tyler Perkins	G	18	0-2	0-1	2-4	1	1	0	0	2
Tafara Gapare	F	14	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	2
Malachi Palmer	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braden Pierce	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.1Possessions58.1

105.0Offensive Efficiency136.0

136.0Defensive Efficiency105.0

-31.0Net Efficiency31.0

46.5%Effective FG%61.0%

48.6%True Shooting %64.3%

20.4%Turnover Rate5.2%

21.1%Free Throw Rate48.0%

38.6%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover6.67

Game Summary

Villanova won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 58.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.