Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.5%Montana State

48.5%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -106

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 75

Projected Total148.6

Projected ScoreOregon State 74

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricOregon State

53.6MMH Power Index48.5

114.4Offensive Efficiency105.8

104.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

9.5Net Efficiency-4.5

-3.7Strength of Schedule4.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

68.1Tempo67.2

55.1%Effective FG%50.6%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.5Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–48.5), offensive efficiency (114.4–105.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.3), net efficiency (9.5–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–-3.7), free throw rate (43.9–30.7).

Final

Montana State

57—67

Oregon State

Oregon State by 10 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATOregon State

21-57FG19-45

37.0%FG%42.0%

6-253PT6-20

24.0%3PT%30.0%

9-15FT23-28

60.0%FT%82.0%

34Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists11

11Turnovers11

7Steals7

2Blocks6

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	30	7-15	1-4	2-2	7	2	1	0	17
Jeremiah Davis	G	21	3-8	2-4	1-4	4	0	0	0	9
Chris Hodges	F	27	2-5	0-0	4-7	6	2	1	1	8
Jaden Steppe	F	19	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Jed Miller	G	38	2-7	2-7	0-0	5	1	2	0	6
Davian Brown	G	28	2-9	0-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Waka Mbatch	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	1	4
Seth Amunrud	G	19	1-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Howie Keene	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josiah Lake II	G	36	5-6	0-1	6-6	8	6	2	0	16
Dez White	G	35	4-11	2-7	2-2	5	0	1	0	12
Isaiah Sy	F	22	4-8	3-7	1-1	3	0	1	1	12
Jorge Diaz Graham	F	30	1-3	0-2	8-11	8	3	2	0	10
Yaak Yaak	C	22	2-4	0-0	6-7	3	0	0	5	10
Noah Amenhauser	C	14	2-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Malcolm Christie	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Keziah Ekissi	G	9	0-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Olavi Suutela	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0
Matija Samar	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

88.8Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency88.8

-15.6Net Efficiency15.6

42.1%Effective FG%48.9%

44.4%True Shooting %57.5%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.1%

26.3%Free Throw Rate62.2%

43.9%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.